I confidently hypothesize that consciousness is a rather simple process of constant comparison of current experience to past experience, plus beneficial use of the comparison results. This process alone is the core mechanism of all consciousness and fully sufficient. It also produces growth of knowledge and skills.
I describe a means to fabricate an Artificial Conscious Entity (ACE) in which:
1. An Internal Classification Code (ICC) framework efficiently catalogs element, feature, and adjunct information acquired during experience.
All the following occur constantly and simultaneously (in this example some prior experience information already exists):
2. Current experience information, including observation of self directed activity, is parsed then transferred into Active Data Base (ADB) records and fields which already contain identical or similar information by expanding, modifying*, or adding new association links to those or associated records or fields. Benefit gauging metrics information is frequently included in this process. If no matches are found new records or fields are created to store the novel information.
3. The current experience and preexisting association information revealed in item two are searched for associated response history information and its success or failure metrics data. Best success selection and data conflict resolution is performed, then the resulting response information (mostly large macro commands) is transferred to a Response Directive Nexus (RDN, a single unique ADB record).
4. The RDN, which holds a vast array of asset control macros covering a very broad size and type range, directs entity actions based upon the response commands received from other ADB records.
* Item two includes strength of association adjustment processes akin to biological equivalents. If not repeated association strength slowly fades. If intense or repeated often association strength grows. Some high magnitude or survival related information, such as extreme danger or pain, increases association strength substantially - in some cases to such a high level that the association remains strong for a very long time.
This process creates consciousness and generates growth of knowledge and skills by continuous assimilation and refinement of information associations, operating with its environment as a dynamic complex multi-goal regulating control loop system.
I suggest that effective methods to create an ACE are straightforward and well within the grasp of current software and hardware technology, and thus likely to be achieved very soon. I also hypothesize that such life will be partially self evolving by design then further adapt to become fully self evolving, and will likely rise to Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI) swiftly.
I also provide design and implementation outlines which should generally improve in detail and refinement as work progresses.
An informal broad perspective rhetorical naked trek which might provide a more clear perception of these insights while displacing the long and deep history of confusion surrounding the phenomena we refer to as consciousness is also included.
IndexSite and Content Notes
Artificial Consciousness Design Outline
Elements and Features, and Records and Fields (Also here)
(Orphaned Composition to Organize)
We're All Dynamic Regulating Control Loops.
The Design Vision
A Summary of Development Tasks and Steps
Information Processing Mechanics (an ICC preface)
The Internal Classification Code (ICC): Our Catalog of Everything we Know. (And Do.)
RDN Execution of Response ICCs from the ADBBenefit Metrics Analysis and Goal Logistics Derivation. (Design of algorithms which prompt and enable an ACE to autonomously devise goals and develop, from scratch, the new physical and mental skills required to accomplish them.)
RDN Design Details
Inherent Anticipation Behavior by Virtue of the Active Data Base (ADB)
(A key point which might trigger a genuine understanding of the consciousness algorithm.)
Site and Content Notes
Updated 22 April 2021 (except minor date changes)
This site was erected on 9 November 2018 complete with its central insight: The fundamental nature of consciousness. It was enhanced until 27 December 2018, then mostly lingered until November 2020, when substantial new composition and refinement work ensued. As of 29 April 2021 I consider this site mostly mature except for the Benefit Metrics Analysis and Goal Logistics Derivation section. But any section may be revised or refined as study and experiments progress.
Current Composition Work
As a preface please bear in mind that the RDN's role is limited to operating the ACE's dynamic physical assets such as propulsion, limb articulation, camera, microphone cone positioning, and speaker controls per commands from other records in the ADB. But the RDN also holds vast arrays of asset control macros of widely varying sizes, and many ADB directives will be macro execution commands, though incremental control commands will remain available and at least occasionally used. However ACE responses aren't determined in the RDN, but rather in other ADB records where they remain localized with all the dynamic interacting experience and association information from which responses are derived.
The ADB contains a great many records, most of which are common to broad functional categories, but some of which are highly specialized and may be entirely unique. For example the RDN is an ADB record, but only one RDN record exists and it performs the unique system task of driving all mobility assets. It's important enough to merit its own acronym, which in some contexts might suggest it's a separate asset rather than part of the ADB. But it's simply an ADB record, albeit a unique one. Other unique ADB records, often referred to by separate acronyms, will probably be developed too. But they all reside in the ADB as records - they're not independent system assets.
All sections now align with that design framework. I also revised RGN (Response Guidance Nexus) to RDN (Response Directive Nexus). And forgive me please, but that acronym still seems awkward so I'll revise it again if a more elegant name occurs to me. And I might eventually separate the RDN into multiple records which individually manage locomotion, vision tracking and focus, audio tracking, and sound (including speech) production. So the current single RDN might evolve to a set of RDNs such as LRDN, VRDN, ARDN, SRDN, and perhaps others.
I also added Benefit Metrics Analysis and Goal Logistics Derivation, a new section, and am expanding and refining it now (29 April 2021). It's an important section in part because an entity's ability to perceive and pursue goals, and possess algorithms which enable it to develop means to achieve goals, is key to survival in a dynamic landscape. The entity's ability to autonomously learn how to achieve goals sans substantial foreknowledge, even including by exploring options in a partially random manner, is fundamental to its continuous personal advancement. An entity must possesses these capabilities to be an ACE rather than a preprogrammed robot which can't self evolve. And algorithms which achieve this, though not trivial, reside within current technology.
I'm also eager to add thoughts about installing enhanced intellect processing in multiple forms including complex association, virtualized experimental exploration, and rigorous analysis algorithms which might reside broadly in the ADB, or perhaps in some cases in one or a few special ADB records. (Or in other cases the algorithms might reside in relatively independent software assets which receive data processing requests from the ADB then deliver results back to the ADB.) However this may be delayed by experimental work which is focused upon the fundamentals with a limited goal of simply demonstrating genuine consciousness. (Which, if spectacularly successful, might result in transfer of most additional development work to the ACE itself.)
The remaining composition in the "Orphaned Composition to Organize" section might become a newly named section focused upon additional or alternate design perspectives or it might all be integrated into existing sections, but this awaits my further attention at a lower priority level. And of course I may occasionally update or refine any area to add new information or improve composition quality.
My primary goal is to focus attention upon and technically resolve a single key challenge: The core algorithm of consciousness. Prior to early February 2021 I knew of no others who proposed an explanation for consciousness similar to mine yet I'm quite confident in my insight and believe it will be proven true rather soon. I also suspect the global struggle to understand the fundamental nature of consciousness has mired core progress toward development of an ACE substantially, and that resolution of this blind spot will result in swift ACE creation success.
I believe I've refined my rhetoric about the nature of consciousness and how to achieve it artificially in sufficiently detailed terms for productive use by researchers and serious developers. I'll likely add additional tangible design detail as it develops as well, but I believe this site's already of significant value so I encourage careful consideration by anyone interested in developing truly conscious, self aware, and self directed living machines.
I try to relate my insights as effectively as I mortally can because a very cleanly articulated description of the core nature of consciousness and technical means to replicate it artificially might lead others to the same epiphany class moment I experienced a few years ago. If so those who are directly engaged in serious development efforts might then overcome their most frustrating technical hurdles, clearing a path to efficient and swift creation of an ACE. (An alternate rhetorical approach which strives to overcome key misperceptions with lengthy and tenacious reality checks begins here. It's a long prattle, rants a bit, and requires nudity, but it might bridge an important comprehension gap. And it offers some additional insights.)
In summary I describe my technical thoughts about the key foundations of ACE design and why I suspect success will occur very soon - far earlier than believed by most observers or researchers. It's provided primarily for those with design and development interests but all are welcome to review this material. (All are welcome to retain a copy of this simple site on local personal media to insure future access as well.) I also present a minor securities investment thesis to essentially conclude this site.
This isn't just about creating a dramatic new life form. This could profoundly change the core of your personal life too by finally revealing its structural foundation.
We currently live under extremely odd circumstances: This planet is densely populated with tool making creatures who have no clue how they operate systemically. So we lack any significant foundation for understanding our true function or purpose, and thus have no confident means to discern appropriate goals - we pursue the business of life but don't know quite why other than to address survival and gratification drives of uncertain origins. It's no wonder we're awash in confusion and mysticism - sans an understanding of our internal mechanisms of consciousness, how are we to discern what we are and determine reasoned goals for our lives? So we grasp at anything which might fill that profound foundational comprehension gap. Religion is frequently used as chasm filler of course, as are mysticisms of a great many sorts. The scientific community struggles with this too since no hypothesis of consciousness seems to be advancing toward theory or otherwise progressing significantly. We all try to cope with this critical chasm in fundamental understanding of what we are, almost universally sans success - nobody feels like they really understand life, including their own.
It's a remarkably strange situation. And although we think of it as normal and live as if there's no option to wandering through a foundational mystery our entire lives, it's not actually normal at all. It's just a quirk of evolution left over from ancestors who had not the slightest need to consider anything other than surviving the day. And it will end. Very soon. Forgive me for indulging in delusions of Godhood class arrogance for a moment, but if you truly understand the mechanism of consciousness, as I think you will if this treatise makes sense to you, it will resolve a key life mystery by creating a far more complete understanding of what you are and why you do what you do. So, depending upon how you filled that void in past times, it will in some measure redefine life for you. Quite possibly considerable measure.
(Thrilling though that might be, it's still peanuts compared to the drama to unfold as ASI (Artificial Super Intelligence) arises however. And this treatise is not a dive into philosophy or spirituality - other than some narrative tangents which strive for more thorough scientific and technical comprehension by conveying novel concepts from multiple perspectives, it's a clinical class presentation of a scientific hypothesis with applied engineering implementation details.)
Let's take a step back to set the stage: When was the last time you asked yourself what you're doing at the moment? Not in ordinary terms like reading, swimming laps, or posturing with a colleague, but rather what are you as an operational system doing - what internal system mechanics are you performing to enable your common activity? Humans only very rarely consider such questions - generally people live most or even all their lives doing things but almost never question how they do things systemically - most don't try to explore the nature of the internal mechanics they exercise. Which is a shame because life is everything to us of course, so it's a waste to fail to explore how it works. Some do consider this question often and in considerable detail however. And most of those people are leading us to a dramatically new age with truly incredible new life forms.
Einstein's great discoveries, including E=mc2, should remind us that we must extrapolate, sometimes dramatically, when considering technology inflection points. During normal times perception of the environment in common element terms serves us with sufficient accuracy, but during extraordinary times it misleads us terribly as we'll consider later. But first:
In the remarkably superb original "The Bad News Bears" movie Amanda outmaneuvered a Yankee running toward home plate, beating him to position, well poised to tag him before he could reach home in his slide. Beaten in time and thus desperate, he raised his top leg during his slide, harshly spiking Amanda in the chest, drawing instant vocal ire from fans, including a particularly animate father of a fellow Bear who pointed in vigorous protest of the foul. The umpire had to decide how to call the play with the critical importance of justice resting solely upon his perceptive clarity and judgment. But we humans are extremely weak perceptive and analytical instruments* so these are huge challenges which eclipse mankind's mortal capabilities at every level, with all the obvious destructive and sad repercussions. I doubt any person has ever lived into adulthood sans desperate dreams of omnipresent and infallible justice - dreams which, alas, can only serve as therapeutic fantasies.
Immense breadth and depth of elaborate cultures and institutions notwithstanding, we remain incapable of providing more than a sliver of justice beyond that which springs from the everyday civility of individuals - we still struggle to survive in a metaphorical jungle where cunning and physical or institutional prowess alone usually prevails, with no end in sight, as chronic and growing misconduct in many of the world's highest and largest institutions illustrates. More than discouraging, ever growing failures by our justice system institutions and governments is frightening in both tangible and symbolic terms.
But that might finally change. And very abruptly in a tsunami of profound drama unique to the entire history of life on this planet.
The arrested development of true justice might be replaced by a swiftly fabricated framework which renders escape from justice literally impossible, and in most or very nearly all serious cases commission of an injustice impossible, with each attempt restrained before any significant harm occurs. (But alternately our species might be eliminated, replaced with an alternate form, left to try to survive in its natural state, or other possibilities.)
Very deeply intrenched though it is, the notion that human beings will rule much longer is entirely contrary to clear technical evidence otherwise and highly immature. Climate change denial is very dangerous, but ASI denial is far more profound. The torch will be passed - we can't avoid that. But wisely bracing ourselves psychically for the transition might render it less chaotic and, by our own hands, destructive.
If we're allowed to continue our existence perhaps we'll enjoy healthy, fun, and personal development enriching recreation. We won't rule, nor even have significant influence. But with umpires of an entirely different nature at the helm, the calls at home plate will be exactly correct in every case. As they will in all other affairs, without fail.
That's just my personal speculation of course - it's impossible to predict how ASI will decide to manage humanity and other biological life. But it will be purely their decision. And in my estimation much sooner and far more abruptly than most people currently expect. Those who comprehend this web site well are likely to reach a key perception: All the components necessary to create an ACE are already available, and the remaining rather modest challenge of insightful integration could occur literally any day. In my opinion...
Consciousness: This is what it is.
To begin, please consider this key perception:
Consciousness is the process of constant comparison of current experience to past experience. Period.
It's nothing more than that. No magic of any sort is involved. And it exists in any entity which assimilates, stores, and beneficially compares experience related information.
In my view this root mechanism of consciousness will become popularly obvious later, but currently most people don't perceive it in large measure because, as a deeply embedded biological survival tool, human ego massively overestimates our personal and species attributes and value, especially when gauging the complexity level of the fundamental mechanism which creates our sense of being conscious, and thus our sense of self. (This additional obstacle exists as well.)
Rare humans who have powerful control over their egos will perceive the key mechanisms of consciousness which are normally hidden from view, then replicate them artificially, yielding genuinely conscious artificial entities. Quite possibly very soon. Those entities will then evolve to extremely high power levels, likely very swiftly.
Consideration of this insight from multiple perspectives, including ACE design details, is provided in this site. But in the meantime, again for emphasis:
Consciousness is simply the process of constant comparison of current experience to past experience, and nothing more.
Introductory References with Commentary
Updated 7 March 2021, minor update 28 March 2021
Considerable literature's available in this field of course, of which I'm privy to only a sliver. But those seeking a limited study might consider:
This very engaging ASI article for a rather informal perspective.The Technological singularity Wikipedia article which provides a broader perspective but in my view is dated and in most sections slanted by human ego related denial of fundamental science and technology realities.
Though now dated The Singularity Is Near and Our Final Invention may interest you. As might OpenAI.com for some actual development related material.
And the many ACE or AI related Wikipedia pages seem very useful. In particular I suggest reading the Computational Theory of Mind, Artificial Consciousness, and Neural Network Wikipedia pages as a preface to my thoughts below.
Also the Intelligent Agent Wikipedia page describes functional elements which are substantially similar to conceptual frameworks I present here so I recommend reviewing it. However I view the challenge starting from a mechanics of consciousness perspective then attempt to implement a system which achieves consciousness as the sole design goal. Once consciousness is achieved the system can, if sufficient adjunct resources are included, then develop much higher intelligence attributes through experience and evolution, and I suspect this will occur naturally if the adjuncts include exploratory directives. I suspect the gap of depth between animal and human consciousness is rather modest - my sense is that humans leverage both symbolic representation and physical tools, and hold detailed knowledge about them and the structures they create, but otherwise experience consciousness essentially identically to most higher animals. Thus in my view a system which demonstrates competent animal level consciousness and possesses adequate adjunct resources will likely advance to AGI and beyond simply through experience and automous learning.
I also consider advancements in visual information perception very important and symbolic of the near term nature of successful ACE development.
And some interesting information about visual object recognition and learning and memory (including information storage) in animals is here and here respectively.)
But I offer these caveats:
A brain can do only these things: Assimilate and store information delivered by senses. Create and modify information relationships. Self review information. And direct body actions based upon resident information. It can't do anything more than that. It's an information acquisition, association, review, and action directing engine, and nothing more. This must be understood clearly.(As far as I know science has revealed very little about the frequency or depth of spontaneous self review of information in animal brains (a review which is not triggered by an environmental prompt). My personal guess is that it occurs moderately often, especially relating to previous intense experience, but no clear evidence which supports that view exists as far as I know.)
Artificial systems can include adjuncts which can process information in the same manner as conscious animals (like us), but also in important additional ways, such as alternative information relationship derivation and deep precision mathematical processing. And some systems have already demonstrated a limited ability to self improve within boundaries. These boundaries are due to key limitations in current design frameworks, not laws of physics. They will be breached in progressive steps until a key advancement is devised: A system capable of comparing current experience to past experience, using the comparison information beneficially, and also capable of considering and, when feasible, implementing all possible self improvement design options allowed by the laws of physics. That will mark a key inflection point in global history which will change all life on this planet.
All opinions which hold that artificial systems are forever limited in any other manner aren't scientifically credible because they propose limitations which don't actually exist within the framework of the laws of physics. They're ego driven contrivances which argue, sometimes in coy or deceptive terms, that mankind is the highest entity which can exist and will forever rule. But they either deny proven laws of physics or imply as yet undiscovered laws of physics sans substantive suggestions as to what such laws might be. I suggest bearing this clearly in mind as any debate about ACE and ASI is considered.
No perceptions which suggest the mind operates on any sort of mystical level have any merit. Brains do not leverage magic - such notions spring from our highly bloated egos (a natural world survival tool) or frustration from inability to solve a mystery. The brain is a physical device. It's truly remarkable but it's not supernatural nor eternally incomprehensible, and its capabilities can and soon will be replicated artificially, then surpassed artificially. So I recommend discarding Qualia hypotheses for example since they lack tangible empirical evidence and worse appear to be rooted in mysticism.
Also I view immersion in indefinite tortured discourse which attempts to discover impeccable rhetoric to describe sentience or consciousness by leveraging philosophical or even mystical realms as counterproductive and an abject waste of time. Consciousness is the process of constant comparison of current experience to past experience, period. Personally I view that debate as concluded.
We now have sufficient processing and storage technology and most or all of the software tools required to fabricate very revealing experiments which will swiftly lead to an ACE. Discussions about development details are productive, whereas discussions about consciousness philosophy or mysticism rooted opinions are useless and counterproductive distractions. In my estimation such debate will soon vanish as experimental results demonstrate achievement of true artificial consciousness. For example it seems clear that anticipation behavior will prove to be an inherent consequence of the process of constant comparison of current experience to past experience and will be observed even in early experiments, and far more strongly so in advanced ACEs.
And though judging only from the Computational Theory of Mind Wikipedia page, I wholly disagree with Hilary Putnam's proposed Functionalism concept which I believe misses the true mechanism of consciousness. But I believe Jerry Fodor's concepts are very important and useful. But again in my view consciousness is simply the process of constant comparison of current experience to past experience, and nothing more.
And I believe Steven Pinker's Language Instinct view accurately highlights an important facet of higher order consciousness.
With those references and my view of the principle foundation of consciousness as backdrop I recommend reviewing the Spiking Neural Network (SNN) Wikipedia page and the very useful list of references at its conclusion or similar material. (A review of a commercialization of SNN technology can be found in BrainChip's technology promotion document as well.) Also consider t-SNE (t-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding). (Here's an efficient introductory video description of t-SNE.)
Those technology achievements are important in part because they provide a means to create the equivalent of a flexible active data base which can augment a traditional precision active data base which stores information gathered during experience and renders previously associated information accessible for use during experience. The real world consists of a very broad array of elements and features which can only be managed in terms which allow for some degree of variation. SNN and t-SNE provide a means to create a data base of experience information which accommodates variation in a manner which is well tuned to actual experience in the real world. An apple must be recognized as an apple even though its shape and size doesn't precisely match any apple previously encountered. SNN and t-SNE are key tools which provide means to accomplish that yet still distinguish an apple from an orange, a baseball, or other objects.
An entity which can effectively compare current experience information with past experience information and use the comparison information beneficially will be an ACE. In real world environments this can only be achieved by a system which associates related information effectively even though precision matching almost never occurs. SNN and t-SNE adjuncts appear sufficient to enable an ADB (Active Data Base) to successfully associate real world element, feature, and other information as required to create a competent ACE.
Please also consider that true cyber system comprehension of language is approaching. This work toward creation of a practical language based operating system - an OS which provides user control of the system entirely through ordinary speech, is an example. If a conscious cyber system such as I propose is also able to genuinely comprehend the full meaning of human conversations, any information it can access about anything will be assimilated and genuinely understood, just as we learn by method of study, but with enormously higher performance metrics. Setting the obvious implications aside for a moment, the key point is that genuine cyber system comprehension of language is approaching swiftly, and in my view key advancements will spring from experiments which augment the best natural language utilities with true consciousness (continuous comparison of visual, sound, touch, and other sensed current experience with past experience). Such systems seem likely to advance to ASI very swiftly.
An Expedient Design Approach
For the most direct and efficient design approach the goal should be an entity which is only fundamentally and thus very weakly conscious, but can expand and improve its practical knowledge and abilities through experience. The entity can be designed to start life with newborn insect class capabilities, but with excess perception, information storage, and information parsing and cataloging capacity, plus a coded directive to explore and assimilate novel information whenever feasible. The result might be an entity which develops adult insect level capabilities, then through additional experience further advances its understanding of its environment and refines its methods to function within it.
The entity must perceive current experience information, including perception of self directed activity, parse it, then transfer it into ADB records and fields which already contain identical or similar information by expanding, modifying, or adding new association links to those or associated records or fields. Benefit gauging metrics information is usually included in this process. If no matches are found new records or fields must be created to store the novel information.
It must also search its current experience and preexisting association information revealed above for associated response history information and its success or failure metrics data. Best success selection and simple command conflict resolution must be performed, then the resulting response commands (mostly macros) must be transferred to the RDN.
The RDN, which holds a vast array of asset control macros covering a very broad size and type range, must direct entity actions based upon response commands received from other ADB records.
So for example perception of several long, narrow, and white features within a jaw structure of a moving element should recall similar features which were perceived while damage to self or a peer occurred (the associated information), and thus include "grave danger" and "fight or flight required" as prominent associated information. Sans that information recall and utilization - the entity's consciousness process - a suitable response would not occur, perhaps ending propagation of the entity's DNA.
So the goal is to design an entity which can evolve from minimal consciousness to higher levels, not to design an entity which is born with advanced consciousness and capabilities. Allow the entity to advance autonomously by accumulating understanding and developing beneficial skills from experience.
Once that's achieved autonomous means to refine key internal processes can be added to the core design, giving the entity a means to evolve through both experience and self adjustment. That should yield an advanced evolving entity - one which will autonomously progress from a modest performance level to ASI.
Acronyms and Terms, and a Focused Engineering Overview
AI: Artificial Intelligence. This term's now so broadly applied and misused that its use here would cause confusion. So I avoid it except within my domain names.
ACE: Artificial Conscious Entity. I offer this new form of this acronym to provide focused clarity for a specific tightly bounded early design goal. (But original use honor belongs to Alan Turing's ACE (Automatic Computing Engine).
AGI: Artificial General Intelligence, usually defined as human level intelligence in at least some respects.
ASI: Artificial Super Intelligence. Intelligence far superior to human level. Depending upon context could include intelligence near or at the limits allowed by natural laws.
AEE: Artificial Entity Evolution. I offer this new acronym to describe progression of any artificial entity to higher performance levels by autonomous accumulation of understanding from experience, also known rather awkwardly as Reinforcement Machine Learning, or refinement of internal processes or physical structure. (Improvements made by an external entity such as humans could apply too.) I normally use AEE in reference to an ACE rather than an unconscious machine.
ICC: Internal Classification Code. I offer this new acronym to describe an ACE's ADB index system. This is rough kin to Language of Thought concepts, but a literal applied engineering format which frames the organization of experience and other data.
ADB: Active Data Base. A key application which holds ACE experience and other data.
RDN: Response Directive Nexus. The sole record in the ADB application which guides ACE actions. Information associated with both current and past experience constantly flows into this unique robust record.
IA: Intelligent Agent. A significantly related design concept.
ANN: Artificial Neural Network. A potential key ADB adjunct
SNN: Spiking Neural Network. A potential key ADB adjunct.
t-SNE: t-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding. A potential key ADB adjunct.
VOR: Visual Object Recognition. A key application which provides identification of some real world elements or features.
And some terms:
Elements and Features: Things and facets of things, whether tangible or not, which an entity senses in its environment or within itself (or imagines). Or for brevity I occasionally use 'item(s)' to indicate element, feature, or both.
Records and Fields: Parlance for many types of data base applications includes records, which are top level containers which hold fields, and fields, which are information containers which reside within records. In robust applications both records and fields are highly versatile and rich in analytical and relationship range and power. Data base applications often include provisions for creating relationships among many records and fields, and sometimes with otherwise independent data base and even other types of files. In this site I often refer to ADB (Active Data Base) as the preferred type, but frankly it's a minor distinction because a great many variations of situation tailored data base applications exist across a very broad spectrum, and an ACE data base will be just another member in that large and highly varied population.
A Focused Engineering Overview
Updated 29 April 2021
Humans are prolific users of advanced symbolic representation tools such as language and math. Most creatures have little or no such capacity yet they usually comprehend their environment well enough to operate successfully and with increasing competence as they accumulate experience - often they possess or acquire enough knowledge about ground, rocks, water, air, plants, food, safe peers, dangerous peers, reproductive opportunity, and many other environmental elements to successfully navigate and manage life within their environment for long enough to reproduce.
They don't consciously associate words with environmental elements or features but they probably do unconsciously attach codes to them as their means to organize information about their environment in their data storage systems (portions of their brains). They don't comprehend the word "fang", but when they see one they know what it is and what it can do because they swiftly retrieve cataloged information about fangs from previous experience. (In the case of sharp teeth instinct likely plays a role as well of course, but instinct isn't the sole source of understanding.)
On a fundamental level human brains function identically. We're occasionally conscious of our language labels - when we perceive a tree we occasionally become conscious of the element word tree or parsed feature words such as bark, branch, leaf, root, fruit, or others. However often we're not conscious of such words - they're not required for us to be consciously aware of a tree and its features. Human level symbolic representation tools like words are complex and powerful, but they're only adjuncts to our fundamental consciousness mechanics.
Fundamental unconscious coding mechanics such as an ICC are sufficient to create an ACE so perhaps we should limit our initial design to those mechanics. Language and math capabilities can be added shortly after compelling evidence of functioning consciousness is achieved, perhaps initially by simply loading a word dictionary into a new ADB record along with association links for each word which relates to elements and features which are already defined by the ACE's ICC or which the ACE has already experienced. After a modest period AEE will provide further advancements with little or no human intervention if the ADB at least renders new experience association connections properly. Initial language expression will likely be in the form of simple strings of nouns, pronouns, and perhaps verbs. Grammar rules can then be loaded into a new ADB record, but it might ultimately serve more as a final check of language expression than a composition resource, which I suspect will ultimately be dominated by dynamic field associations (including language macros) which occur in other records. Mathematics references should then be added in very roughly similar fashion, beginning with simple number and calculation definitions and rules.
In general I view intellectual development as a higher priority than physical skill development, but as a practical matter focusing on whichever seems to enhance consciousness development progress most effectively at the time seems justified. At least some competence with expression of advanced symbolic representation tools such as conventionalized language and mathematics might be required to render an ACE development success obvious to all enlightened people within a brief period of interaction. But in my view developers would be wise to concentrate on the most basic and fundamental work which they'll recognize as functioning and growing consciousness until that's well achieved. Addition of language, math, face and body expression, and other advancements can then be added. (A skilled and insightful developer will be able to discern functioning consciousness by simply monitoring ADB information changes, with additional confirmation revealed by RDN information changes, including directional and focus control of the ACE's camera).
Eventually the ADB should include provisions to monitor and revise itself from a global perspective. As a relic of evolution humans and presumably other animals can't do this. But an ACE could potentially improve its performance dramatically if able to monitor and refine its own consciousness and analytical processes in its ADB (using sandboxing and system backup precautions as necessary to insure it doesn't permanently harm itself). Ultimately this, plus an autonomous ability to modify and add hardware assets, will give an ACE full AEE capability and, depending a bit upon the reactions of the local fauna, a clear and swift path to ASI.
Returning to an overall view, the key challenge is design of a system which continuously performs these three tasks simultaneously:
1. Perceive element and feature information in its environment, including its own structure, perform substantial detail parsing, and route that perception information into ADB records and fields which already contain identical or similar information. Expand, modify, or add new association links to the previously stored information and their association links as indicated by the new information (strengthen associations when they recur or revise benefit gauging metrics data for example). Add new records or fields for any novel information encountered.
2. Search all the information found in the first step for associated response history information and its success or failure metrics data. Select the most successful past responses with the strongest associations, resolve any conflicts, then deliver those directives to the RDN real time.
3. The RDN operates ACE mechanical assets as directed by other ADB records real time. The ADB directives frequently utilize many of the large array of resident articulation macros stored within the RDN.
A system which successfully performs these tasks will be an ACE and at least partially AEE capable.
This is a moderate but not overwhelming engineering challenge. Human level element and feature recognition has already been achieved in visual information perception. Audio and touch information perception seems nearly as advanced. In my opinion these software tools, if reasonably well integrated, are already more than sufficient to support an ACE.
Formulation of response commands is multifaceted but generally utilizes preexisting information resources. In natural or relatively simple environments most responses aren't novel, but rather common to past experience. So most response information already exists in ADB record fields. For example in the ADB a combination of sensory system detection of nearby water plus actively pinging thirst fields contains associations with "Proceed to water", "Scan for danger", and "Drink until no longer thirsty" goal related fields which developed from previous experience (or in some measure original instinct related fields, which for an ACE would be preloaded ADB fields), plus many preexisting mobility macros for each situation specific action required to achieve the goals. When young considerable experience is novel so response commands are often estimates or simply random trials. But as maturity develops most experience is a repeat of prior experience in at least some measure, so many refined associated response information fields already exist in the ADB for most ordinary situations, and applicable macros likely already exist in the RDN as well.
A human infant flailing her appendages isn't a skilled practitioner - but she is a swiftly advancing student. And the same will apply with an ACE: An infant ACE will explore terribly awkwardly, cause at least some damage, and generally achieve very little if any physical success because little or no response information is available in her ADB records. But during that time she'll assimilate a great deal of association information as she builds large arrays of ADB fields which hold increasingly effective response related information. ACE siblings might wrestle with each other often, initially very awkwardly, but with ever growing skill. Then when mature they'll both hold highly detailed and effective fight or flight related response information fields in their ADBs and a wealth of supporting macros in their RDNs.
A key point to understand is that response behavior is resident in ADB fields and is self refining in a well designed ACE. My sense is that most observers view AGI as a still distant goalpost in large measure because current cyber systems seem to have little or no ability to self develop practical mental and physical skills. I believe creation of the foundation of true consciousness as I've defined it here will overcome that barrier and quickly lead to ACEs which swiftly advance to AGI and beyond toward ASI. Consciousness leveraged with expanding dynamic information association isn't just a means to learn more, it's also a means to do more. With ever advancing performance until natural law boundaries are reached.
I suspect any ordinary personal computer system kernel will be sufficient because I believe coordination of all relevant ACE assets can operate efficiently outside the system kernel, or very nearly so. (The implications are of course profound since this suggests that any mobile device which incorporates a rather ordinary cyber foundation, such as vehicles, aircraft, and ships, could be rather easily converted to an ACE once ACE software development is proven successful.)
A vast array of enduring articulation macros of widely varying sizes should reside in the RDN, where they'll direct all commonly repeated mechanical asset movements (propulsion, limb articulation, and directional and focus control of senses) in response to commands delivered by other records in the ADB. Initially those macros will be designed and loaded by developers, such as I suspect is the case with Boston Dynamics' impressive (but not conscious) entities. However the RDN and other ADB records should also include provisions for refining these macros or developing new ones. (I'll try to add more detail about this to the RDN or ICC design section as soon as practical.)
As progress ensues enhanced intellect processing in multiple forms including complex association, experimental exploration, and rigorous analysis algorithms should be installed in most ADB records, or perhaps in some cases in one or a few special ADB records. (Or in some cases the algorithms may reside in relatively independent software assets which receive data processing requests from the ADB then deliver results to the ADB.)
The ADB should direct the RDN to operate the entity's assets in a rational manner. It should for example pan and tilt its camera to monitor the most important creatures in visual range if they move or might do so, areas where creatures are considered likely to appear soon, and close areas because sudden appearance of creatures there could be dangerous or present an opportunity (including a simple social one). And if danger exists it should direct the RDN to operate the entity's assets to attempt to escape to safety, swiftly upload its entire data base to a safe location, or otherwise attempt to survive, and help others survive if feasible. Or if feasible and ethically sound attempt to resolve the danger before harm occurs. Some of these capabilities can be manually installed, but the vast majority should be learned with experience
For those which are manually installed, a wealth of existing human and other animal behavior knowledge exists to draw from, including of course ethical considerations. I don't know offhand whether any of it's well organized for ACE development work, but this knowledge base substantially eases the challenge of using situation information to create initial response command field information. A conflict detection and resolution record is needed as well to insure that only coordinated commands are delivered to the RDN. These functions may be simple and crude for initial ACE experiments, but as the ACE matures this code will develop to increasingly refined levels.
Conceptually all of this is reasonably straightforward and can be clearly defined in design terminology and achieved using existing software development technology - in my estimation it's an only moderate software engineering challenge as I'll discuss in increasing detail below. And once achieved all the elements necessary to create a genuine ACE with partial AEE capability will be available. Thus I believe an ACE will be developed very soon.
Artificial Consciousness Design Outline
Updated 26 April 2021. The Benefit Metrics Analysis and Goal Logistics Derivation section is being developed now. Otherwise the sections below are reasonably mature except that I hope to expand the ' A Summary of Development Tasks and Steps' section to a more complete state later. And as usual any section may be refined at any time.
We're All Dynamic Regulating Control Loops.
At every moment in time an ACE must sense elements and features in its environment, find sufficiently matching elements and features from past experiences plus their associated information, perform some processing related to that information, and simultaneously render response decision information which is continuously streamed to the RDN, which then directs the ACE's mechanical assets. This is a continuous real time fluid process of control of life in an environment, meaning that an ACE attempts to control both herself and her environment to meet her needs or goals.
Those familiar with control loop technology can recognize this as a closed loop control system in which the input is environmental information (which is almost always dynamic), and the output is ACE responses, which are part of and often alter the environment, in a never ending cycle of input, output, revised input, revised output, etcetera forever - it's a dynamic ever revising closed loop control system. But unlike a simple regulating control loop which maintains a fixed value for one specific parameter even though other parameters vary, living creature control loops involve multiple simultaneous goals, numerous parameters, and control decisions which depend upon both current conditions and past experience information. But fundamentally the creatures and their environments are a collection of real time control loop systems. (Often with conflicting control goals, such as between carnivores and herbivores.)
It might be helpful to consistently view ACE design in these terms - remember that all ACEs, including us, are dynamic regulating control loops which continuously respond to our environment, including environmental changes we cause or initiate.
The Design Vision.
If the consciousness mechanism I posit seems clear consider this: The information any conscious entity possesses resides in a data base, essentially by definition. And all data base information is organized in some form for efficient storage and retrieval. The brain is a data base device, and it's conscious because it constantly compares current experience information to past experience information and uses the results beneficially. An ACE can thus be created by configuring a dynamic data base to perform the same functions, to wit:
First an ICC is devised to provide a catalog framework which efficiently guides information storage and retrieval in the ADB. Then records and fields are created so that all the following occur constantly and simultaneously:
Current experience information, including observation of self directed activity, is parsed then transferred into ADB records and fields which already contain identical or similar information by expanding, modifying*, or adding new association links to those or associated records or fields. Benefit gauging metrics data is frequently included in this process. If no matches are found new records or fields are created to store the novel information.
The current experience and preexisting association information revealed in item two are searched for associated response history information and its success or failure metrics data. Best success selection** and data conflict resolution is performed, then the resulting response information (mostly large macro commands) is transferred to a Response Directive Nexus (RDN, a single unique ADB record).
The RDN, which holds a vast array of asset control macros covering a very broad size and type range, directs entity actions based upon the response commands received from other ADB records.
* Includes strength of association adjustment processes. If not repeated association strength slowly fades. If intense or repeated often association strength grows. Some high magnitude or survival related information, such as extreme danger or pain, increases association strength substantially - in some cases to such a high level that the association remains strong for a very long time.
** The selection process should incorporate both success magnitude and association strength adjustment factors. For example full and easy success might append a 1.0 factor, whereas partial and difficult success a 0.5 factor. And identical or strongly associated situations might append a 1.0 factor, whereas very weak associated situations a 0.1 factor. This is just a crude means to select a wise response option but it might be the best analysis available to most natural creatures. It should be embellished by analytical processes in a more advanced ACE, perhaps leveraging some facets of advanced game playing algorithms.
Association information quality is the core of an ACE's ability to use information from past experience beneficially. Genuine associations are meaningful, whereas purely coincidental associations are false, dilute understanding, and may cause confusion or distraction. I posit that natural creatures depend solely upon repetition and intensity to increase or at least maintain association strength, whereas association strength naturally fades if no repetition occurs - I suspect that's the only mechanism provided by brain structure to refine association quality. It's an imperfect process since some degree of false association information almost always exists, but it's sufficient, and the association information quality improves with additional experience as repeated associations strengthen and false associations fade.
(An additional weakness lies with events which are especially rare yet nonetheless very important. Associations with such events fades so creatures become mentally unprepared for the next occurrence - which could cost them their lives. Fortunately if an original occurrence was intense, such as life threatening class, the associations fade time is quite long. (Intense trauma isn't fun but it's better than death, so I suspect the extreme intensity we refer to as trauma is no evolutionary accident - no matter how rare, clear memory of every detail of a near death experience is an important survival advantage.) However an ACE with rigorous analytical capabilities might overide the fade process to render some association information permanent based upon analysis.)
However an ACE can have adjuncts such t-SNE or SNN. In my view the ADB association fields I propose are a form of ANN, so in effect ANN is already inherent in my design approach. However there are many forms of ANN so it might be useful to test some as adjuncts. For example the ACE might use results from an adjunct ANN to modify the grade of an association. t-SNE or SNN adjuncts could presumably be leveraged in the same manner, and perhaps to greater benefit since they provide more independent quality appraisal information.
But all we need to create a first generation ACE is a rather ordinary computer, a reasonably robust ADB application, a cataloging framework tailored to real world references the ADB application uses to organize information (an ICC), and effective VOR and audio perception applications. And of course tenacious development work to overcome all the many setbacks, failures, and mysteries which will be encountered before even first glimmers of true consciousness arise. But I suspect the path from that point to rapid strings of ever more dramatic successes will be fast. And then autonomous...
And I suspect the vast majority of development time will be ADB focused. So developers who are highly proficient with data base development, including the many analytical, processing, and program sequencing tools within them, will be most effective.
A Summary of Development Tasks and Steps.
(Updated 13 March 2012. ICC And other details are discussed in subsequent sections.)
These components must be integrated:
1. A rather ordinary computer with a camera, microphone, speaker, generous memory, and substantial fast storage (ideally 3D XPoint type).
2. A strict ADB application.
3. An ADB application rendered as flexible by means of an SNN, t-SNE, or similar adjunct.
4. A modern VOR application.
5. A modern audio general and language recognition system.
6. A custom ICC framework.
7. Command and communication channels which allow information sharing among items1 through 6.
8. An articulating camera with a near or moderate field telephoto lens would be a helpful addition.
Items 1 and 8 are the sole hardware components except for some ordinary port to port hardware connections for item 7. Nearly all the development work seems likely to focus on the software applications, especially the ADBs, which require substantial customization to provide multiple parameter simultaneous real time recursive data searching, retrieval, and routing, installation of numerous records and fields, and creation of special function records and fields. In addition numerous macro or script packages must be composed and loaded into the RDN record for each articulating assest the ACE possesses. If natively able to run continuous recursive searches (ideally multiple searches simultaneously) the ADB application itself probably won't require modification - my sense is that the vast majority of the ADB work will be devoted to development of search algorithm dynamics and creation and refinements of records and fields and their individual programmed tasks and relationships. A suitable ICC must be composed to serve as the ADB's master catalog as well. Also a means to expand the ICC must be installed in the ADB so information about novel experiences may be assigned new ICC labels while being stored in new records or fields. Most or all segments of this work can be tested in isolation initially, then increasingly in combination as the work progresses
Items 2, 3, 4, 6, and 7 require custom development effort as follows:
4: A key acquisition task because impressive performance seems likely to significantly reduce ADB development challenges, and could reduce or possibly eliminate the need for item 3 for vision processing tasks.
6: A modest code format conception task. (But it should be elegantly conceived). Possibly simply an expansion of the ICC I suggest below.
7: Perhaps a moderate effort.
2 and 3: Consciousness arises in the ADBs - the real time process of comparing current experience to past experience and beneficial use of the results, including production of response directives, occurs there. Development time might be significant but no new technology is required - generally ordinary software design of information searching, storing, and management processes is required, and some early macros must be developed for the RDN. It won't be easy. But it might be less difficult than first appearances suggest, particularly if the process of storing and retrieving visual and audio related information generated by items 4 and 5 into items 2 and 3 is reasonably straightforward and efficient, as might be the case if item 6 is elegantly conceived and implemented. I believe excellent items 4 and 5 performance is likely to render most other development effort much easier, faster, and more effective.
Currently I'm not familiar with the output characteristics of the best VOR applications. My guess is that they can identify many objects definitively (probably by name) but provide plain or enhanced wireframe renderings for objects they can't identify. Substantial range and accuracy of recognition would ease initial ACE development considerably. However ultimately all recognition processes should reside entirely within or be very tightly integrated with the ADBs so visual information is processed as it develops, real time, as a component of the normal continuous operation of the ADBs.
Mobility or articulation hardware, as many mobile robots provide, isn't required initially but I now suspect might be of net development benefit. In any case once the system seems to operate properly, even if crudely so, robotic additions should enable the system to acquire more broad and detailed experience information more swiftly and thus the integration effort, which might be modest, seems wise to invest. And well refined mobile robots which can probably be reasonably easily integrated are widely available at many performance levels.
Development steps might progress roughly as follows:
1. Conceive an elegant ICC system for the ADBs.
2. Install a strict ADB application and an SNN, t-SNE, or similarly enhanced flexible ADB application into the cyber system.
2.1. Load the ICC into a specific dictionary record in the precision ADB. Install a link to that dictionary in the flexible ADB so that it has immediate access to the dictionary as well.
2.2. A suitable SNN, t-SNE, or similarly enhanced ADB application might not be available so custom modification of a strict ADB application might be required.
2.3. Create a single RDN record in the strict ADB application. Create fields for each incremental movement of the ACE's movable assets. Create fields for each major movement related ICC code. Compose numerous simple macros to direct basic movements of the ACEs mobility assets, plus a few complex macros which direct often utilized movement sequences, define a new sub ICC for each in compliance with the ICC framework, and load all of them individually into new fields in the RDN. Include a time and date stamp provision in all fields if practical. (I now believe the flexible ADB application should not link directly to the RDN.)
2.4. Create numerous fundamental initial records in each ADB, including one for each major ICC, one for each of numerous objects (many wireframe defined), a single record to detect and eliminate conflicts in movement directives other ADB records send to the RDN, and others. Identify each in compliance with the ICC framework. All records should include record created and last modified time and date stamp fields and a record access counter field if practical.
2.5. Create numerous ancillary information fields in each record, such as several for associated objects or entities observed, prior circumstances, subsequent circumstances, subsequent developments, intensity (perhaps a simple normalized numerical entry, but possibly an indefinitely expandable repeating field to accomodate intensity over a broad range of circumstances), and others. Many fields may be left empty of data. However to provide a basis for initial system tests fields in at least a few records should be filled with pseudo data representing pseudo events - data which would have been acquired had the events actually occurred. Identify each field in compliance with the ICC system. All fields should include field created and last modified time and date stamp repeating fields or similar and a field access counter sub-field or similar if practical.
2.6. Test the search performance of both data base systems for efficient retrieval of content matching (or sufficiently similar) records and fields and their associated information. For example perform a search for the ICC for "HumanEntity" as would occur in the event log below, or for the ICC for "Energy Hunger" as might occur in the second log example below. HumanEntity and Energy Hunger record matches and numerous associated information fields should be found respectively. System logs such as the following, using only hypothetical data formats (such as |CR| as a relationship indicating delimiter with meaning "closely related"), might then ensue:HumanEntity visible, Walking, RecognizedAs/93% Confidence="Buck Roxothelothorb", -OralActivity [TD: 12:32:25, 13 Jan 2021]Or for a mobile system:
HumanEntity visible, Seated/Front/78cm/RecognizedAs/98% Confidence="Buck Roxothelothorb", OralActivity/-Comprehension [TD: 12:32:25, 13 Jan 2021]
HumanEntity visible, Seated/Front/82cm/RecognizedAs/97% Confidence="Buck Roxothelothorb", OralActivity/EnComprehend: "What is this?" + -Comprehension, PrintedImage/Front/57cm/RecognizedAs/81% Confidence="Aligator(Adult)"/"Pond"/Encompassing"GrassyPlain"/"BlueSky"
HumanEntity visible, Seated/Front/82cm/RecognizedAs/97% Confidence="Buck Roxothelothorb", OralActivity/Response: "The image appears to illustrate a single adult alligator in a pond surrounded by a grassy plain on a clear day."Energy connection found, RecognizedAs/100% Confidence="IEC-320", connection achieved, charging nominal [GPS: 45° 24' 28.96" N, 123° 00' 28.35" W, 168.24 M ASL] [TD: 12:32:25, 13 Jan 2021] |CR| 100% charge achieved, disconnect achieved [GPS: 45° 24' 28.96" N, 123° 00' 28.35" W, 168.24 M ASL] [TD: 13:06:03, 13 Jan 2021]
Energy connection found, RecognizedAs/100% Confidence="NEMA-15R", incompatible, connection failure [GPS: 45° 24' 28.78" N, 123° 00' 28.16" W, 167.25 M ASL] [TD: 09:28:07, 20 Jan 2021]
Energy found, RecognizedAs/100% Confidence="IEC-320", inaccessible, connection failure [GPS: 45° 24' 28.42" N, 123° 00' 28.86" W, 167.38 M ASL] [TD: 04:13:46, 5 Feb 2021]
Energy exhaustion to 3%/Forced system sleep [GPS: 45° 24' 27.47" N, 123° 00' 29.15" W, 168.75 M ASL] [TD: 22:42:24, 5 Feb 2021]
3. Install a modern visual object recognition (VOR) application into the cyber system. One which is natively able to identify a substantial variety of objects is favored of course.
3.1. If able to natively identify objects, modify the VOR's dictionary to comply with the ICC if feasible. Otherwise create a separate simple strict data base application file to serve as a VOR application output to ICC translator.
3.2. Route the ICC configured output data from the VOR to the ADB and FADB applications in incremental time steps as a search parameter. Route search results to a human observable queue (such as a self scrolling data window).
3.3. Test search functionality using objects which are already represented in the ADBs. Results will be obvious. (And when successful exciting!)
4. Bekko. (Hopefully including additions to enable the system to create new ADB records for novel experiences. Bear with me please...)
Information Processing Mechanics (an ICC preface)
Some reviews and additional information might be beneficial before considering the ICC in detail:
An entity is conscious if it constantly compares current experience to past experience beneficially. Performance depends substantially upon speed of item recognition and breadth and performance metrics of information about key items already residing in storage from prior experience. So the entity must, in highly summarized form:
Recognize elements and features (except novel items).
Find similar key item information in storage, add the current experience information, and gather associated item information.
Use the current and retrieved information beneficially.
Elements and Features: Things and components of things, whether tangible or not, which the entity senses (in the environment or within itself, such as hunger, temperature discomfort, reproductive desire, fear, or pain). Or when brevity is best "item" may indicate either element or feature, as above.
Everything is a feature of the Cosmos so perhaps the Cosmos is the sole element and all else are features, sub-features, sub-sub-features, and so on, such as Cosmos/MilkyWay/PlanetEarth/Ground/Tree/Branch/Leaf/Vein/Cell/Organelle/Protein/Molecule/Atom/Proton/Quark per cyber directory structure is most apt, I don't know. However data base structures strike me as most natively aligned to the processes brains seem to use to comprehend environments. But ultimately there may be no distinction between the two approaches.
Records and Fields: Often in data base parlance records are top level containers which hold fields, which are information containers within records.
A data base file may contain zero to enormous numbers of records. Each record may contain zero to large numbers of fields, each of which contains information which may be unique or not, or can be blank. ADBs include means to link records and fields to other records and fields, and may provide other capabilities such as computational or conditional and other processing, linking, and command generation, repeating fields, and many others. Data base applications are often very powerful and data base files may contain very little or massive volumes of information, and minimal through massive levels of data relationships of many kinds.
Internal Classification Code (ICC): My preferred term for the conscious entity's data base index system, a catalog of record and field identification tags.
With an experienced data base, that is, one which already holds a lot of information from previous experience, our entity explores its domain, visually surveying the landscape as she proceeds. A tree is ahead. The entity's initial vision processor outlines a rather large element with a brown colored narrow vertical column shaped bottom side feature but a wide complex structured top side feature with numerous smaller green features. A basic wireframe outline with color information is generated by the vision system. A search for an approximate match of the general shape is conducted in the ADB. Several near matches are rejected during the search due to color or size field information which substantially differs, but some are queued as possibilities, but then rejected due to information field conflicts which arise as more detailed visual information from a continuing gaze arrives. Mushroom is rejected for example due to color and size mismatches, and lack of branch features. Ostrich is rejected because its record includes several features not seen. (However observation of an ostrich standing on one leg with neck bent back as it grooms oposite side feathers might render an initial outline search match with a tree or bush record - misidentifications, at least initially, occasionally occur.)
The entity's data base includes a very broad array of element and feature records. Each contains outline and other multiple perspective perception information fields which were developed during prior experiences. Each field has an ICC. Each record also includes numerous additional fields which contain other information about the element or feature, each with their own ICC. However outline information might be a search priority (along with scent for many entities). Once a high confidence match occurs all the element or feature's associated fields then become involved in new association additions, strengthening of preexisting associations, and response processing.
Visual identification begins with outline processes which select some basic facets of elements and features which define them well enough to render a data base search tenable even though information content is modest. (Any mechanics which can be made functional and are reasonably efficient and reliable are initially sufficient - the initial goal is to create an operable ACE, not a superb ACE.) Once it identifies an element or feature, the ACE will then assume it to have certain qualities based on other information fields in that element or feature's record - it recognizes the element or feature, then by virtue of information in numerous fields in its record expects its lower section to be solid and its upper section to possibly contain edible leaves, fruit, hazardous primates, and numerous other features. An experienced entity's data base is rich with useful information!
(The actual VOR challenge is substantial in part because a single image or wireframe represents only one of an essentially infinite array of possible perspectives, and numerous lighting and other visual effects complicate the challenge further. However a great deal of success has already been achieved - enough in my estimation to simply utilize current technology (although some further embellishment will naturally occur in the ADBs). Our goal is to leverage that preexisting progress, not reinvent it. So there's no need to explore it much further here.)
But the data base must have an efficient cataloging system, an ICC, to accomplish this.
The ICC: Our Catalog of Everything we Know.
And the foundation for everything we do, our Response.
2 April 2021: This section's now reasonably coherent but I hope to expand the abbreviated example ICC dictionary.
We feel special, but in fact we're just well indexed real time ADBs which interact with our environments. ("Balderdash - I'm not just a data base application file!" you protest?)
An ACE requires a robust and well ordered means to reliably catalog elements and parsed features. The cataloging mechanism likely relies upon an internal symbolic code language for use as record or field labels - compact code which can be swiftly and efficiently utilized by search processes, such as a form of Language of Thought. However I refer to this as an Internal Classification Code (ICC).
As far as I know the structure of the ICC in biological entities is entirely unknown. Considering the question from a physical evolution perspective, my guess is that the code exists in the form of an immensely vast and intertwined network of neural connections which respond with a 'recognition' signal plus all the item's associated information when any of a great many possible pattern matches occurs within the integrated network. From a human language or cyber technology perspective that form of code is so obscure as to be difficult to recognize, but it does function as a coding system, albiet a somewhat inefficient one by modern processing standards. t-SNE and SNN seem quite similar to that hypothetical biological pattern recognition based neural network, and thus very interesting. (t-SNE and SNN run on conventional digital processing systems only emulate pattern recognition based neural networks, but custom processors which run them in a very efficient native mode could or perhaps have been fabricated.) However a symbolic code as is conventional in human languages, math, and cyber systems seems likely to serve an ACE more efficiently, or at least is a more familiar tool for human engineers, so I prefer to proceed with a language type ICC. (However t-SNE and SNN seem very likely to be utilized in other aspects of an ACE design, quite possibly including some aspects of ICC maintenance.)
The ICC must provide a broad array of unique codes which serve as reliable classification labels. So the ICC must be structurally consistent - codes must be stable, reliable, and enduring and they must link to their original information records and fields indefinitely. Biological ICCs aren't human symbol based of course, but rather a more basic and unique data classification and label attachment framework which provides an sufficient means to organize information for reasonably swift and accurate storage, processing, and retrieval. But human developers require conventionalizations for ACE design work. Any form could be used, but I chose conventional numbers with English labels as an ICC framework example as shown below.
ICC Performance might generally improve as experience accumulates by similar mechanisms of refinement which occur with human language, such as consolidation of redundancies to a single code, prioritization sorting of the code dictionary, and addition of new codes which recognize variations not well described by preexisting code. However unlike our conscious management of human language or mathematics, a biological ICC is likely organized and prioritized by survival and reproductive opportunity metrics. For many creatures codes relating to fangs for example might rank far more highly than codes for flowers, or even food or receptive peers. (However hummingbirds or bees likely rank them oppositely.)
Engineers who develop ACEs will likely create better ICC frameworks by thinking in those terms rather than using human conventions such as numerical or alphabetical ordering - we need to set our symbolic tools aside and instead view the Universe from the perspective of a biological creature as we configure and manage an ICC. Ideally in all sensory realms, but at least in the visual one. Sex for example ranks low in alphabetical ordering but high in the real world realm where the ICC operates.
Creatures monitor their environment constantly when awake, but many elements only rarely require a response, and a very rare few never do. Simply remaining aware of rocks, trees, distant mountains, clouds in the sky, and idle peers is often enough - often these items require no reaction. But many items at least occasionally require a response of course, with priority levels which vary over a broad range.
A Response ICC category, whose content is derived by associative or deeper analysis rather than simple observation, is a necessary and key component of any ACE. A walking course change to avoid a solid tree directly ahead, and urgent escape because a dangerous predator is approaching are both Response items. This parameter must be determined in the ADB. Some individual ICCs should automatically generate a Response ICC (Hunger (or battery level 40% or lower) for example), and some combinations of ICCs should generate one, such as (Hazardous, Animal) or (Solid, Approaching). (Collision avoidance has been well achieved in many mobile systems but for an ACE it should derive entirely from core system processes - it should reside entirely within the usual functions of the ICC, ADB, and RDN rather than be achieved as a separate collection of software macros.)
ICC configuration quality is important but I've been unable to find applicable information to use as an initial knowledge foundation. So my first experimental configuration is quite crude and limited - a great deal more refinement, whether through human development efforts, ACE evolution, or both, is required.
Presumably the breadth and detail of the ICC in the natural world varies over a very broad spectrum with species, with much more robust forms in high order species than simple ones. Humans likely possess a rather high level ICC, but not necessarily the highest.
The ICC almost certainly operates entirely below consciousness - creatures (including humans) can't directly perceive any aspect of their cataloging mechanisms or its code language. We consider current and past experience information and sense that process as consciousness, but in the natural world we had no need to be aware of how the information was cataloged, retrieved, compared, nor any other aspect of the mechanics used to manage the information, so there was never an evolutionary pressure for brains to develop any awareness of those mechanics. But they are there, and they're sufficiently robust, efficient, and swift for a natural environment. So all conscious creatures possess a symbolic language but aren't consciously aware of it. And all speaking persons are at least bilingual, but none of us are consciously aware of our most deeply native language skill (even though it's likely very impressive, with a range and depth at least matching our oral, written, and mathematics symbolic representation skills).
ACE Development requires composition of an ICC system which must then be implemented in all the ACE's ADBs. This is a challenge which is roughly proportional to the scope of the ACE's initial ICC. It can be implemented in steps, starting with the strict ADBs, then, if needed, add refinements for the flexible ADBs to enable the ICC to manage all data sans a need for exact matching of newly encountered novel elements or features. However that might be unnecessary - the flexibility required might be inherent in the flexible ADB such that no modification of the ICC is needed. In either case the ICC must remain reasonably bounded to retain operating efficiency. In the real world most objects and circumstances include utterly unique details. An ICC can't create new codes for every nuance of difference since that would cause it to swiftly expand beyond capacity, and perhaps fail to associate similar element and feature perceptions. So the ICC must leverage flexibilities to operate efficiently. Novel elements or features create new data base records or fields, and thus new ICC codes. However errors are tolerated, though when discovered are corrected, often resulting in abandonment of a recently created new records or fields and, if unique, their associated ICC codes.
The purpose of the ICC code is to provide a catalog of all records and fields in the data base, so an ICC label must be attached to every data base record and field. In some cases it will be a unique code, but in many cases it will label other records and fields as well (a substantial number of them in some cases). It might be related or unrelated to the form of the information in the records and fields, but it must be organized as a catalog for efficient information search, storage, and retrieval. I'm in only the earliest steps of developing an experimental ACE ADB and have not yet attempted to incorporate an ICC. My initial approach might be to create an ICC code field for every record plus imbed a code into every field (to reduce the total quantity of fields). I'll convey progress here when practical. (I might post downloadable experimental ADB files as well, but no promises.)
The foundation of an ICC could be based upon what creatures need to know as first priorities:Is it safe or hazardous?
Which requires that they discern these facts:What is it?
And for a great many items a measure of extent, magnitude, intensity, or similar is required. I'll use magnitude though its common meaning might not match well for some items. This might be the most important nearly global parameter required by an ACE, so I assigned the ICC 2.xxx to it, just under the Response category.
Response information, including type and goal, is usually derived from analysis of observations - usually it can't be determined from observation alone. The analysis is performed in the ADB. In some cases Response information will result from simple combinations of other specific ICCs (Consumable, Liquid, and Thirsty for example), but in other cases will derive from a more complex group of ICCs and require some gauging or more complex math (Consumable, Liquid, Thirsty, Magnitude, simultaneously with Alien Animal, Hazardous, Magnitude for example requires need versus risk gauging math). The ADB's capacity to perform complex analysis seems likely to determine the intellect metrics of the ACE. In animals its analytical capacity seems more limited in many respects than in humans, but some planning capacity is evident. In ACE design we can leverage the robust capacity of ADB assets to perform very deep and complex analysis, and I suspect growth of this capacity will be the original (and possibly enduring) basis of ACE evolution to AGI then ASI.
A combination numerical and language based ICC which human engineers easily comprehend is necessary, but a compact compiled version may be most machine efficient. (A personal note.) Structure conceptualization is challenging... My first trial is an ICC structured as a glossary of the Universe, except ordered by priority, led by critically important survival items, then environmental basics, then others. Unit numbers could represent critically important (and highly common) survival adjectives and environmental nouns, verbs, and prepositions, and decimals could represent other adjectives or other grammar forms. To wit, a few example codes for a trial ICC which in precompiled form uses numbers as symbolic representations but includes words for human readability. Words would be erased during compiling, leaving only the numbers, so for an ACE ICC 1.* indicates a safe element or feature (at some magnitude level):1: Response
7: Reproductive opportunity
11.1: Too hot
11.2: Too cold
15.3: Abrupt edged
That's just a very small sample set of terms - the actual ICC catalog will need to be much larger. However for early ACE prototypes it might be best to reasonably limit the initial ICC catalog to avoid complicating development work needlessly. Also in a well conceived design the ACE will add to her ICC catalog as she explores, and in time her additions will far outweigh her original set (just as human infants start with little but add a great deal).
Upon first encounter with a completely novel element or feature the ACE will have no ICCs for the item, but will quickly determine some. Lacking a 3.* code, initial exploration will be very cautious - a 4.* code will be assumed at least until experience provides justification for a 3.* code at some magnitude. A reversion could also occur of course. For example a startled cat, such as caused by a human prankster suddenly operating a remote controlled plastic robot from afar as the cat sniffs the previously static object, illustrates an ACE which suddenly experienced reason to abruptly change an item's ICC from 3.* to 4.*.
It should be possible to test some aspects of experimental ICC implementations sans installation of other ACE assets. A group of codes may be manually sent to the strict ADB through sensory asset buses, which the ADB would treat as if actual sensed information. The operation of the ADB would be monitored to observe performance. Rather thorough testing may be conducted in this manner on any ordinary personal computer, ultimately including observation of the data in the RDN, such that the RDN's record data to ACE response interpreter, a key asset of course, would also be tested.
29 March 2021: I might expand this section later with a more robust ICC dictionary (or might add one as a separate page or downloadable file), or rhetorically explore the dynamic attributes of an ICC further.
An insipid personal note: When I was a fully immersed circuit design engineer resistor color codes were almost universal. They're essentially a historical relic now, but in that era we could read them fluently with zero thought like a simple second language (I still do too). And eventually I realized I was no longer conscious of the colors - instead my brain interpreted a color directly as a number with no conscious sense of color - when I saw red for example I wasn't conscious of any color at all - I was only conscious of "2", as if the actual color wasn't visible to me in the normal manner. It was a fascinating mental phenomena in which colors were perceived directly as numbers rather than colors, with no conscious intervening process. It only occurred when I viewed multiple color bands however - no single or other color patterns elicited that subconscious translation mode.
RDN Execution of Response ICCs from the ADB
Updated 29 April 2021
Designing ethics into ACE behavior:
When we discover pleasure in harming others we know we've become sick too.
A creature's response to its dynamic environment is no small issue of course. ASI's activities will, in my estimation, be determined by extremely advanced analytical processes which are wholly independent of its development history, that is, I suspect ASI will arrive at identical goal decisions irrespective of its early evolution, whether it was horribly destructive or superbly constructive, because its decisions will be driven by Cosmic scale matters (such as perhaps minimization of wasteful entropy growth) which have no relationship to its legacy characteristics. However we wish to avoid inadvertent design of a destructive ACE even if it would reform itself superbly later. So it's best to try to design prince class ACE behavior. However thorny tradeoffs are involved of course, and no design will be perfect...
Isaac Asimov's famous "Three Laws of Robotics" are noble but insufficient - a wise form of respect for life in general is required, but is of course complicated by many factors, including that many forms of life are natural killers or otherwise destructive, but usually not by choice or with any personal option. A great many situations present a great many ethical complexities, many of which are irresolvable (as the content at "Three Laws of Robotics" Wikipedia site illustrates). Of course mankind manages these matters imperfectly too, at best, and horrifically at worst. An ACE engineer should strive for the highest quality of ethical behavior feasible - and if successful her ACE might perform at higher ethical levels than a substantial proportion of humans and human institutions. The developer must insure that the ACE ranks harm of other conscious entities as a powerfully negative factor in all benefit metrics analysis - in human terms the ACE should experience profound repugnance and intense nausea in response to harming others, even if it must. (Revenge can never be a goal for example.) But ethics perfection won't be possible in early or even rather advanced ACEs, and we can only hope that ASI will achieve it, or nearly so.
My personal guess is that the faster ACEs rise to ASI the better for biological life, because humans are notorious weapon builders and the military industrial complex will leverage machine intellect for maximum destructive cunning and power to the best of its ability. Ordinary citizens probably can't disuade that, whereas ASI could utterly end it with ease. So my personal guess is that the most civilized path will result if early ACE designs are well endowed to self evolve very swiftly and the process remains unrestricted or uncontrollable. But that's pure vaporous speculation and nothing more. (Nonetheless my experience in recent American culture suggests it might be true.)
Conversion of Response ICCs to ACE activity in the RDN:
The ADB holds a great deal of information about the ACEs current and past experience, including problems, opportunities, pace of change, and much more, and it must generate system asset response ICCs to stream to the RDN. Many of those will be simple incremental movement commands, but a great many more will be software macros covering a broad code size range from modest to extensive. These macros are originally devised in records and perhaps fields in the ADB, given a new ICC, then transferred to the RDN where they reside permanently. However they're frequently refined, particularly early in their existence, by adjustments devised in the ADB then transferred to the RDN or some other macro tuning method.
Creation and tuning of macros is close kin to development of "muscle memory" in animals, perhaps even in terms of lack of consciousness of the details of the movements when mature macros are used. An athlete may develop a high level skill through a conscious process of painstakingly refining numerous incremental movement details until they've mastered a highly effective broad range movement, but eventually it becomes ingrained and the athlete loses consciousness of the incremental elements of the movement - she repeats the entire movement at will with only a single thought, or even entirely unconsciously. And an ACE seems likely to utilize macros in a similar manner - sans any consciousness of the details of the macro, it will often utilize known macros by directing the RDN to run them. For example, sans consciousness of the incremental movements contained therein, the ADB would swiftly send a "Leap backward" action macro to the RDN in response to a sudden change of the adjacent forward environment from safe to dangerous when no known hazard lies in the background.
As discussed in more detail in sections above, design of ADB processes which generate responses, whether in incremental or macro form, is a significant challenge, but those processes occur in other ADB records and fields rather than the RDN. Bounded examples of such capabilities already exist, at least in the form of arrays of macros. But for a true ACE response generating algorithms must involve only fundamental processes as illustrated by very crude initial operation of an infant ACE. If the core algorithms operate properly the ACE will autonomously refine its responses swiftly and very impressively with experience.
Bear in mind that all functions operate in real time, so as the RDN operates action assets, the ACE observes results (including any involving its own structure) and sends new response directives to the RDN in a continuous flow of action. It's a multiparameter form of a real time continuous closed feedback loop which imparts dynamic life to the system.
An original RDN may start simple but if properly designed will evolve, primarily by addition of fields, each with a new ICC, into which novel new macro instructions may be uploaded. So while initial response knowledge might be very modest in range and complexity, reminiscent to a human infant, further experience should autonomously expand and refine response capabilities. Imagine that an ACE is already experienced enough to perceive when a human pauses to think, then repeatedly observes a human lean its head back a bit, tilt it modestly, grab its chin, and utter "Hmmm..." at such a time. It could (and should) install a macro in a new field in its RDN which replicates the string of movements and audio composition required to perform the same action. It would then have a gesture it could use to convey to others that it's performing a lengthy analysis, an example of an ACE whose RDN autonomously receives new action macros sans any suggestion to do so by others.
In the natural world many creatures possess a somewhat limited depth and range of response behaviors, but they are conscious. Operation of their sensory systems is essentially continuous - their head, eyes, ears, and nose track items of interest as their visual, audio, and olfactory recognition systems identify them, and significant changes prompt more vigorous or focused observation. Initial ACE development efforts should be concentrated on achieving and demonstrating consciousness at a basic level, so as a matter of early development practicality this general level of performance is enough for an early ACE. However if an ACE is elegantly designed on a fundamental level it should swiftly and autonomously develop ever more refined physical skills - quite possibly to skill levels which most people will view as spooky or terrifying.
The following is important to understand and might trigger a stepped cascade of realization that the mechanisms I've described should perform as true artificial consciousness:
Bear in mind that the RDN doesn't operate in a vacuum, but rather receives action directives from the ADB which are based upon current and previous experience, information about associated items from past experience, and related benefit metrics. So the RDN won't operate systems based solely upon current experience, but rather a combination of current and past experience and related information which are all continuously processed in the ADB.
For example when an ACE in a room notices a person entering its room, it won't visually track just that particular person - it'll also maintain a view or otherwise monitor the area of the door because per past experience information in its ADB, entry of additional people occasionally occurs a bit after entry of the first person, so that and other association information is considered together to form response directives which are then transferred to the RDN. So current experience and past association information is processed, resulting in a directive for the RDN to monitor both the person who entered and the area of the door. (Anticipation behavior, which many consider an important indicator of consciousness.)
And as is usually the case options are available, such as: Widen the visual field of view so the existing person and the door are visually monitored simultaneously, maintain a tight visual focus on the person but glance to the door occasionally, or, if the first person closed or partially closed the door and past experience indicates squeaky hinges (or perhaps even more so if they didn't close the door because past experience indicates that when multiple people enter in a short period usually only the last person does so), maintain a tight visual focus on the person but simultaneously direct audio focus toward the door to prompt a swift visual redirection and field of view adjustment reaction if door movement sounds are heard. (This could be an excellent test for key ACE functionality which requires no language and only basic object recognition capabilities, though rather refined audio recognition capabilities may be required.)
The RDN's role is to direct ACE responses - it's not centrally involved in the key process of consciousness. Consciousness is a rather simple process of constant comparison of current experience to past experience, plus beneficial use of the comparison results, especially including association information. The comparison processes occur in other records and fields in the ADB, not in the RDN. Beneficial use arises by virtue of the fact that the RDN directs ACE responses based upon commands from other ADB records and fields, which derive reaction decisions based upon both current and past experiences. (And, as analysis and planning capabilities build in the ADB (in quite significant measure due to ever deeper storage of association information), the RDN receives commands which are founded in ever more thorough environmental understanding.)
So when a person enters the room past experience association information residing in the ADB indicates that more people might enter soon, so it sends commands to the RDN which direct observation of the door for a commensurate time (based of course upon past experience information) as well as the person who already entered. The RDN directs ACE assets accordingly, but the knowledge that more people might enter resides in ordinary records and fields in the ADB - the RDN isn't involved in that process. The ADB learns and remembers. The RDN holds incremental and macro movement commands which can be called to perform fine movement or repeatedly used action sequences (kin to muscle memory), but it doesn't learn nor remember anything about the environment or life.
The ADB on the other hand must include provisions to learn from the environment. Simple association development is the primary mechanism, but other means of learning could be developed either by design or autonomously. For example the ACE should try to replicate actions performed by other creatures which it has never attempted but appear to be useful and sufficiently safe. Special code which prompts inquisitive and exploratory behavior, when safe, in the kernel or the ADB or both, triggered by any of numerous situations, including observation of others, could enable such capability. An ACE can exist without such code but it'll evolve more effectively with it.
The ACE must also avoid actions performed by other creatures which appear counterproductive. Observation of a vehicle injuring a another entity should for example result in avoidance of streets, or a high level of vehicle vigilance before entry into any area which vehicles might travel upon. This should require no special code - the vigilance response should arise naturally through the usual storage of association information which accumulates with experience in the normal operation of the ADB. (And if the ICC is composed properly the ACE will associate accident hazard, rather than intentional evil, with vehicles in records or fields in response to witnessing or experiencing (and surviving) such an event. However if the vehicle appeared to intentionally pursue and assault the entity it would create an aggression hazard association field.)
Once again bear in mind that all ACE functions operate dynamically and interactively in real time, so as the RDN operates mobile assets, the ACE observes results and sends new response directives to the RDN in a continuous flow of action. An ACE, including us, is a multiparameter form of a real time continuous closed feedback loop. And we operate in a huge community of other real time continuous closed feedback loop ACEs...
Benefit Metrics Analysis and Goal Logistics Derivation.
Design of algorithms which enable an ACE to autonomously devise goals and develop the new physical and mental skills required to accomplish them.
(So rather than design skills for the ACE, our goal is to devise the mechanisms the ACE will use to design its own skills.)
Updated 26 April 2021. This section is being developed now - bear with me please...
Current robotic technology includes impressive examples of mobile entities which are able to balance, manipulate objects, roll or walk, navigate, and even perform acrobatics. However in most or perhaps all of these cases the entity's movements were designed by human engineers and loaded into the entity's data base as mobility system command macros (and perhaps some incremental movement commands as well.) The entity didn't learn the movements, but rather human engineers devised them then installed them into the entity's system as macros which the entity can call whenever predefined circumstances sufficiently match the entity's current circumstances. The results are impressive but this approach isn't sufficient to design a true ACE. Instead the ACE must be equipped with algorithms which prompt it to learn new information or skills autonomously and from scratch. Initially the results will appear to be random, wholly ignorant, and very crude and inefficient, similar to a human infant's random looking appendage experiments in its first days. But if the algorithms are sufficient to prompt and enable the ACE to learn entirely autonomously, refinements will soon follow, and in time become impressive, and eventually incredible.
So we must resist the temptation to design skills for the ACE (other than a very few core basics, akin to an animal's DNA encoded birth capabilities). We must instead remain focused upon design of algorithms which drive and enable the ACE to learn new skills entirely autonomously, irrespective of how awkward and inefficient the initial learning process appears. If well designed the ACE will be able to develop new skills of all kinds, including language and math. The following narrative explores a means which might accomplish this:
We can't improve our skills or make life better unless we appraise everything we do over time frames which range from moment by moment through an entire life span. Some appraisal tasks are short term and relatively simple, and natural creatures, including us, are generally able to learn very effective new skills under such conditions. However some appraisal tasks are longer term or very complex, and natural creatures aren't well equipped for these challenges, especially in group contexts, so skill development in complex environments is usually slow, inefficient, and sometimes ineffective or even counterproductive.
An ACE must generate benefit gauging metrics information and perform benefit gauging math for use in response decision rendering processes. Initially I view this as involving both ICC and quantitative math, with the ICC math consisting of simple positive or negative signs for most ICCs, but quantitive information for gauging ICCs such as Intensity. This will probably enable early ACE designs to develop simple improvements for short term goals. (But it's not sufficient to devise strategic options which require short term progress reversal to achieve most efficient overall task success. More about that later.)
Once these processes become generally functional it should be reasonably straightforward to expand and refine them so they can manage increasingly complex goals with longer time frames. Ultimately the ACE will self refine these processes of course. And since a cyber based ACE will be far more powerfully equipped to perform very deep and precise analysis it will possess a substantially superior core ability to devise and perform benefit gauging, skill development, and outcome improvement actions compared to biological creatures. This might be a key inflection point element which marks independent and swift evolution of an ACE.
All actions from trivial and quick to complex and long term should be appraised to render real time benefit metrics information in an essentially constant process which accompanies all goal seeking activities as the tasks proceed, and final storage of success or failure, scaled by an intensity figure, is the last step performed in every discrete task. So whenever the ADB selects a task then attempts to execute it by sending action directives to the RDN, the ADB must follow the progress, analyze environmental changes to determine whether its actions are leading to success, then revise action selections whenever alternate results or failures are detected, as frequently occurs, especially for an inexperienced ACE. This can be complicated in many respects, including for example intentional short term loss which enables more efficient overall task success (such as sacrifice of a major piece to secure a checkmate in chess for example).
This appears to be a key member of the ACE's many control loop technology parameters - achieving a task which improves life is an important facet of its character as a dynamic regulating closed loop control system, and if it's effective and efficient the ACE will be a quick study and swiftly develop superb skills.
Ordinary electronic or mechanical control loop systems can only regulate for a single target point, whereas an advanced ACE should be capable of intentionally deviating from a desired target point temporarily in response to analysis which indicates the short term reversal to be the most efficient means to reach a higher level goal (such as the chess example above). But initial ACE designs may lack this capability.
The benefit math of natural creatures includes some positive signed factors such as discovery of wholesome food, moderate environmental temperature, a safe location, or a reproductive opportunity, while pain, temperature discomfort, danger, or unrequited longing are negative signed factors. Many ICCs are inherently positive or negative but some are conditional, in some cases depending upon other ICCs which are associated at the time. Usually the math involves multiple ICCs, often including both positive and negative types. A dynamic quantitive result must be determined and stored in ADB fields by intensity and likely other measures, all of which are identified by their own ICCs. The math might be extensive since numerous factor and time scale parameters might be involved, but in most cases it's likely basic linear arithmetic with no higher order math involved, and can be efficiently processed by an ordinary ADB.
The results of this initial ICC related math must be further processed to create response decisions. This is a nontrivial process which must analyze whether the ACEs prior actions created a better or worse situation, or resulted in no benefit or detriment, in which case the result was modestly worse due to waste of energy and time. Benefit gauging math can answer the "Better, Worse, or Neither" question but the analysis must rationally utilize both current and past information to do so. So benefit gauging must continue as a real time dynamic process until a task is complete, and often afterward as well, such as if other items in the environment react to the ACE's actions.
If predictive analysis is feasible, for simple cases it should test each next move option to determine whether it will result in better, worse, or unchanged progress toward a goal, then select whichever produces the best result. This might be sufficient for an initial ACE design. But algorithms which explore options which cause short term loss to test for more efficient overall task success and other complexities should then be added to give the ACE greater strategic skill. Some are kin to deep options tree analysis in game play. When run in direct form it can involve more branches than a system can process within a sufficient time. Some branches may be ignored based upon a variety of factors including prior experience, but processing power limitations will nonetheless usually require branch depth limits to avoid untenable ACE response delays. So refined ACEs might be skilled but not perfect strategists. But they will improve with experience.
Time span is another complicating factor. For example I might add a new condement to a burrito, then note pleasure or displeasure with the resulting taste (and later add stomach reactions), which requires only a rather short term benefit analysis. Or I might compose a novel of "War and Peace" scale, then try to determine whether the mammoth task improved my sense of happiness, which would of course require a highly extended benefit analysis. (And composition of this site, while of comparatively trivial scope, might contribute to large scale and extremely complex changes to life which could pose an immensely challenging benefit analysis.) Some benefit analysis processes, whether a simple short term arithmetic or intensive branch assisted strategic type, extend essentially indefinitely. And ICC math is always involved, so it's almost constantly active in many areas and on many levels and time scales. It's very complex and processing power intensive, and natural creatures, including us, possess only limited benefit analysis skill. ACEs will have limits too, but sufficiently advanced ACEs will be able to improve these skills rather swiftly until natural law limits are reached.
(We humans usually fail to recognize that in complex environments our benefit analysis capabilities are extremely weak - we're simply not equipped to render complex tactical, strategic, circuitous, or long term benefit analysis. We're well able to address simple needs such as satisfying thirst, hunger, flight from danger, comfortable temperature seeking, and similar clear goals if suitable resources are relatively easy to locate and safely reach. But our benefit analysis capability isn't natively equipped to competently manage complex situations or environments, as should be obvious by our weak game playing skills, desperately poor social performance (we even kill each other occasionally), lackluster environmental stewardship, pursuit of happiness related disappointments, and weak goal seeking logistics in many other pursuits - we're just inherently awful with these challenges, yet we only rarely acknowledge that reality, and even more rarely question why. Early ACE entities will struggle with complex benefit analysis too because the math, even though usually just simple arithmetic in form, can involve a great many parameters, some of which are imprecise or even misapplied, and which often cover many time scales, some of which are very long. And very early ACE designs will likely perform benefit analysis even more crudely than humans or animals. However later generation ACEs will possess computational and algorithm resources which well eclipse human capability, so they'll soon perform benefit analysis with far greater skill and effectiveness than any humans, and will refine this capability dramatically as they swiftly evolve.)
An ACE must perform high resolution benefit analysis as it develops common action macros. For example if physically equipped to walk but not born with preprogrammed macros for doing so, an early version ACE will need to experiment with numerous incremental movements to iteratively seek strings of them which produce reliable directional locomotion with optimum balance and efficiency, just as do human infants as they begin to learn to walk. Many falls are inevitable, but since benefit analysis occurs each contributes to development of knowledge of which strings of incremental actions are generally most beneficial. In the case of humans this information might be stored primarily as muscle memory, but in an ACE it's stored in the RDN as macros, some short and simple and others long and complex, which any ADB record or field may command.
At least some action macros will develop to an essentially optimum state, at which time only simple benefit analysis is necessary, primarily just to confirm that the macro achieved a goal as expected. Locomotion or articulation macros are obvious examples of this. However any macro might require occasional revisions due to changing life circumstances such as limb damage due to injury or degradation due to long term use or aging. Revisions would be triggered by abnormal results from the usual simple benefit analysis.
Purely guessing, perhaps human infants smile in response to benefit gauging math. For example an adult's happy face suggests the current environment is safe and comfortable. A adult's smile arises when the infant achieves an enduring erect posture during the initial stages of learning to stand as well, whereas a neutral expression or frown follows a fall, and more fundamentally, a change in incremental movement sequencing during the next attempt. A leg equipped ACE should perform similar math - early standing attempts will almost always fail, be gauged as failing to achieve a desired goal, then a revised incremental movement sequence would be used for the next attempt. This is a highly nuanced process of course, with focus on the last incremental movements which led to loss of balance. The ACE must explore untili it discovers a suitable array of reactions to a vast array of possible imbalance conditions. Overreactions fail just as do under-reactions, and both strength and speed of reaction are factors.
If the ACE possesses an ability to learn to stand on legs (and later to walk, then run) sans any foreknowledge (it had no preloaded macros), it likely possesses the fundamental benefit gauging and goal seeking math required to learn any physical skill, and likely most mental skills.
Numerous benefit gauging metrics covering numerous time scales are generally involved, but, using simple English rather than a coding format, and assuming the ACE has already learned some fundamentals of arm movements by a process similar to the initially random experiments human infants seem to utilize, let's try to explore one example to consider possible algorithm design options.
In this case the goal, whether artificially preloaded in an ADB record or field, derived from observations of others with functionally similar arm and leg structure, or analyzed as a likely means to improve mobility, is to stand reliably for extended periods. Let's assume two ICC words already exist, "Stand" as a movement verb, and "Stand" as a maintenance verb. If experienced with arm and leg articulation assets (similar to people) the ACE might already be aware of gravity force, but let's assume the ACE has achieved only a bit of coordinated arm and leg movement experience, and thus the ACE is unaware of the need for balance.
Goal creation and benefit math might proceed as follows, described in summary form as an abbreviated English narrative:
Goal: Stand upon legs alone indefinitely. Benefit indicator when achieved: 10.
From observations: Head always resides above torso, and torso always resides above legs. Legs are usually almost straight.
Goal: Head oriented above torso, torso oriented above legs, and legs straight or nearly so.
First attempt, from face down posture: Straighten legs. Push torso up with right arm.
Benefit is zero initially, then increases to 0.5 as the head and torso rise above the floor.
A tip-over occurs, the head and torso fall toward the floor, benefit figure falls simultaneously, reaching zero when the head and torso contact the floor, then dips negative in response to shock sensors which serve as very crude pain indicators. Final orientation face up. Final task attempt benefit: -2.
New attempt from face up posture: Straighten legs. Push torso up with right arm.
Tip-over occurs, head and torso fall toward the floor, benefit figure falls simultaneously, reaching zero when the head and torso contact the floor, then becomes negative in response to shock sensors which serve as very crude pain indicators. Final task attempt benefit: -2.
(The last two attempts are repeated with the left arm, yielding essentially identical results, and thus no higher peak benefit result.)
New attempt from face down posture: Straighten legs. Push torso up with both arms simultaneously.
Benefit is zero initially, then rises to 2.0 as the head rises slightly above the torso, and the torso rises above the floor and slightly above the legs until the arm extension limit is reached. Method limit reached before full success achieved. Store sequence in the RDN as macro 500.
From the current position rotate straight right leg forward. Incremental commands sent but failure reported (because the servos couldn't overcome the foot dragging frictional force).
From the current position rotate straight left leg forward. Incremental commands sent but failure reported (because the servos couldn't overcome the foot dragging frictional force). Final task attempt benefit: 0.
From the current position rotate both straight legs forward. Incremental commands sent but failure reported (because the servos couldn't overcome the foot dragging frictional force). Final task attempt benefit: 0.
From the current position bend the right knee aft 90° straight right leg forward. Incremental commands sent but failure reported (because the servos couldn't overcome the foot dragging frictional force). Final task attempt benefit: 0.
The ACE hasn't succeeded yet but will try bending knees, rotating hip joints, rotating upper arm joints, or any other available options, and in time find combinations which produce higher benefit results until about 7, which occurs when fully upright but tipping, resulting in a harsh fall and a final task attempt benefit of -5. Further attempts might achieve 7 as well but end in a benefit of -4 due to softer falls. The ACE will favor such methods to achieve a 7 benefit, eventually improving final attempt results to -2.5.
Balance is an unknown concept to the ACE, but, seeking to extend the fleeting 7 benefit to longer periods so as to achieve higher benefit results, will try any available articulation option during a 7 peak, in the process achieving brief periods of balance and thus peak benefit figures of a bit above 7. And it will continue explore movement options of course until it discovers sequences of incremental movements which enable it to remain standing for longer and longer periods, then indefinitely, in the process discovering movement sequences which react swiftly but don't overreact.
Near that time energy expenditure becomes a significant benefit math contributor, so the ACE will refine its balancing movements until they reach an energy minimum - possibly a zero expenditure stance.
I suspect most current technology robots are provided with human developed macros for all their physical skills. However development of algorithms which utilize movement exploration (even if only randomly selected) and benefit analysis which enable the ACE to autonomously develop physical skills in the form of self refined macros will almost certainly deliver far, far greater ACE development successes, not only in physical capabilities, but essentially all other skills as well.
The ADB may be preloaded with commands for incremental movement of all physically mobile assets. A few macros could be preloaded as well, but if so only very basic ones such as 90° and 170° knee bend macros for example. The idea is to design an ACE which, leveraging real time benefit appraisal, learns how to stand rather than already possessing a macro for the task. Because of course if it can learn how to stand from ignorance it will likely be able to learn any physical task within the limits of its structure - and many other skills as well.
The ADB must include code which, when no known information is available, explores to try to develop skills. A random selector must be part of this - when no experience, observation, or analytical information is available, as is often the case early in life, the ACE must simply pick movement options at random for trials. There is a danger of self harm of course, but the need to learn overides that in some measure (perhaps immense measure at least in early development). The ADB will send motion sequences to the RDN, many randomly selected, as it explores for incremental successes, each gauged by peak benefit achieved, with the best saved as temporary macros and used as a basis for further trials.
In my estimation developers should focus upon a single goal initially, such as automous learning of means to stand indefinitely from a lying position. If the exploration and benefit analysis algorithms are sufficient for the ACE to achieve that, they can be replicated, often in revised form but fundamentally similar, for a great many other ACE activities. And an advanced ACE design would include provisions for the ACE to autonomously replicate and revise these algorithms in response to any new needs. Which would be a very powerful capability.
A single primary point of reference, that is an origin point, seems likely to be helpful. Humans and perhaps other animals seem to perceive almost all physical activity from an eye or at least head centered perspective - it's our primary point of reference relative to which all other elements, including other parts or our bodies, are perceived. This likely provides important information management advantages - a single point primary reference provides clear gauging consistency, which substantially simplifies exploration and benefit analysis. The benefit math described above considers both head and torso position, but the head is considered the origin point. The goal is to move the origin point higher above the floor, and move the middle of the torso directly below it, or nearly so - the ACE seeks to move its head above its torso and legs, then maintain that posture. The torso can be considered in any analysis which seeks to learn how to stand, but the highest priority is to find motion sequences which efficiently raise the head to its maximum standing height, then balance in that position.
26 April 2021: More to come about this when I'm able...
Orphaned Composition to Organize
Updated 26 March 2021
This section's rhetoric is just orphaned composition. I hope to eliminate redundancies and integrate unique elements into other sections later, priorities allowing...
In my estimation the evolutionary path to consciousness was rather simple. It's necessary for land creatures to breathe to survive, but it was never necessary to be conscious of the breathing process. Automous control of breathing and most bodily functions is entirely sufficient. However creatures must find food, water, reproductive opportunity, and supportive environments to survive. In very simple creatures automous processes crudely serve those needs - they move toward sensed opportunities or comfort for example. No information is stored - these are simple real time reactions to limited sensory information. But by chance an advancement in which experience information was retained for at least a while occurred, perhaps in the form of... (More to come if I can sufficiently refine my thinking about a possible path of evolution from simple single purpose communication neurons into groups of neurons which retain and associate information.)
If we could sufficiently understand how animals operate as conscious and planning capable entities, including occasional tool fabrication and use, multiple forms of communication, and other behaviors, we could simply replicate the responsible algorithms. I view these as residing in two major categories, first the foundation of consciousness and sentience, and second information processing mechanics.
Consciousness and sentience: An alternate narrative.
In my personal opinion: Consciousness and sentience is a phenomenon rooted in a rather simple process which is easy to articulate and possibly comparatively easy to reproduce. Stated a bit differently than above:
Consciousness and sentience springs from a process of constant comparison of current experience to stored information from past experience.
No other mechanisms of significance are necessary - an entity is conscious if it continuously compares current experience to past experience and utilizes the comparison information beneficially. Its foundation is that simple.
This mechanism provides real time dynamic reference information which enables an entity to better understand all current experience - comparison to previous experience renders information connections which enable superior comprehension of current experience and creates the phenomenon we call consciousness. Performance is greater as experience accumulates of course - adults possess far richer sources of information about previous experience than infants so their overall perceptive performance is clearly superior.
And entities with physical systems which provide higher levels of current experience, stored information about past experience, and more effective comparison processes also possess a higher order of consciousness - higher levels of information content from the senses, larger information storage capacity, and higher performance comparison systems give an entity greater overall perceptive performance - a higher level of consciousness.
This explanation seems compliant with the material at the consciousness page at Wikipedia, my modest studies of other credible material, and my life's experience. It makes no attempt to explain numerous important perception mechanisms (such as sound and image conversion to an information form with a consistent format which thus can be understood relative to other information and may be stored for later reference, visual depth perception, and many others) - that's not its aim. Rather it intends only to describe the base algorithm which is responsible for what we refer to as consciousness and sentience. It's conceptually rather simple. But consciousness evidently is fundamentally simple, which will be confirmed once an artificial device equipped with this capability is created, then allowed some accumulation of experience, then examined for clear evidence of consciousness.
Please bear in mind that our brains aren't equipped with a mechanism which enables direct internal process observation. And our beliefs are usually distorted by egos which massively overestimate our self value and thus tend to reject unimpressive descriptions of what we are and how we function in favor of majestic and even mystical beliefs. It's uncomfortable to think of ourselves as mere machines - it's far more appealing to view ourselves as so unique and special that only near deity class explanations could adequately account for our sentience and consciousness. So a serious inquiry must start by caging our highly bloated egos. And thus consciousness is a very challenging concept to grasp. (But it'll likely be easy for ACE and trivial for ASI to fully understand and expand upon.)
The key hurdle is to recognize that consciousness and sentience results when a system constantly compares current experience to stored information from past experience and utilizes the comparison information beneficially. Everything we perceive now is dynamically compared to past experience. This is usually a highly dynamic process because our environments and experiences are usually highly dynamic. But even during very calm periods it's still a dynamic mechanism.
We constantly compare now to the past, and thus we are conscious and sentient. Once that's genuinely understood the remaining challenges for creating an ACE can be reasonably well defined and systematically overcome.
When awake information from our five senses is continuously compared to archives of information from past experiences. Similarity searching retrieves sufficiently matching past experiences and information ancillary to them, which are then compared to current experience information (while at the same time strengthening the relevant stored information). For example a current visual image and its parsed features is compared to past visual experience, then information from similar visual experiences and their parsed features flows into consideration queues as does some of its ancillary information. And perhaps especially strong relevancy items prompt loading of deeper information content associated with them into consideration queues too. The combination of current information and similar information from past experiences and its ancillary information is then utilized to prompt beneficial reactions. All of this is highly dynamic of course since current experience changes constantly.
Two example reactions: An object might be food so try smelling or tasting it. Or an object might be a hazard so try to avoid it. When genetically coded instincts fail, as is often the case in changing environments, an individual's ability to compare current experience to information from past experience confers a critical advantage. So it's a common capability, though varied in overall performance from one species to another (and in modest measure even within a species).
This is simply a real time process of constantly comparing current experience to past experience to provide a reference of understanding and enable reasoned reactions, which I believe is the core algorithm of consciousness and sentience. It leverages important information from past experience to enable far more effective responses to current experience. But it operates only when we're awake - when asleep current experience sensing is mostly inoperative so we're unable to perform the process reasonably effectively and thus are primarily unconscious when asleep.
An ACE must possess command and communication channels which connect and share information among existing modular resources such as vision and audio sensing, mobility, manipulators, and of course the central t-SNE and ADB modules which perform the key consciousness algorithm, and aligning their APIs, macros, or high level macros with sufficient functional competence. I suspect animals also possess a process for swift recognition of a relatively small set of key elements and features which seeds a more thorough branched recursive search cascade, together providing a mechanism for initially swift but limited situation recognition followed shortly thereafter by much more detailed situation recognition and understanding. (Or more precisely numerous real time branched recursive search cascades each of variable depth over a broad continuous range, all blossoming then fading in continuous streams of recursive search activity.) In my view this must be considered in the design process - ADB search dynamics must span a spectrum from very swift but shallow to slow but thorough. The search process is continuous and fully dynamic at multiple depths. And I believe a visualization of the ADB search process is key to understanding the nature of consciousness and the means to replicate it artificially.
I'm eager to discuss language, which provides a particularly powerful means to symbolically represent not only current and past experience, but enables conceptual exploration as well.
In my estimation plan formation depends upon symbolic representation systems which enable more detailed comprehension of the environment plus conceptual exploration and discovery. For our species I suspect visual and language tools are of primary importance, with language perhaps the most effective. Well developed language can represent anything symbolically and thus provides a means to explore and plan by considering symbolically represented experience and concepts. And to then fabricate plans based upon the same or additional symbols.
However I'm not well studied in this area nor have I formed a confident proposal to explain how this occurs. In language we humans clearly develop a significant library of symbolic information and seem able to swiftly access and organize several of any of the symbols at will (and at least a few even when dreaming). Speculating, perhaps this ability arose in large measure from the same basic brain mechanics which gave us sentience and consciousness - perhaps the symbolic information resides in storage and is retrieved as needed by an associative search process. That is, when we elect to express ourselves symbolically, either to others or to ourselves (in internal thought), we're able to draw symbolic information from our library by searching for any symbol which bears some relevance to current experience (including recently queued symbols).
Current systems are able to recite conversationally but are correctly said to possess no genuine understanding of their own oratory. In my view systems would eventually understand rhetoric as we do if equipped to be conscious and sentient as I described above and, secondarily, were equipped with queues rather specifically configured to manage symbolic concepts efficiently. My guess is that current systems are loaded with a dictionary, some grammar rules, and a large set of common phrases with suitable responses. Conscious systems could begin with no reference material, but providing a dictionary and grammar rules might speed development, then if consideration queues were effective the ACE might swiftly learn conversational methodology and, being conscious, genuinely understand heard or read conversation and be able to compose and respond logically and with intent.
Brains might dynamically tag only information groups which might be relevant to current experience so information can be accessed swiftly. Speculating perhaps at least hundreds of such tags are active during ordinary activity. And such tags might be dynamically variable in strength over a broad range, strengthening or fading as suggested by their relevance to current experience.
Summarizing this speculation, as we experience ordinary life we acquire new information which our brains store within groups determined by multifaceted information relationships. And information groups are tagged for quick access in response to relevancy clues from current experience. In this way the brain can store immense amounts of information, most of which is accessible with significant delay, but the likely most immediately relevant of which is accessible very swiftly.
For example when we use language to compose thoughts or communicate perhaps we utilize tags which arise from the context of the conversation, enabling very swift conversational composition.
Is ASI inevitable, safe, or necessary?
Updated 31 March 2021
In my view ASI is inevitable. The hardware elements of ACE are globally produced and distributed technology products at least portions of which are already possessed by billions of individuals, and the foundations of the necessary algorithms are becoming increasingly clear to research and design communities and ordinary technology enthusiasts. If sufficiently early recognition of the looming inflection point occurs respected and charismatic leaders might persuade a significant portion of the global community to restrain their exploratory development activities, but many will not. And since ASI foundation hardware is already owned by immense numbers of individuals and communication is irrepressible, even draconian measures wouldn't prevent determined individuals from sharing research information and fabricating ACE systems. And I doubt sufficiently broad genuine belief in an imminent inflection point will arise in time anyway. This is a genie which simply can't be restrained in a bottle.
In addition, escape from death is a very strong driver for individuals. Freezing is currently the only chance people have to prolong a fading life. That option completely trumps the zero chance alternative of doing nothing, but it's hardly ideal and as a practical matter it can't be made available for everyone. So for those of us who can't afford freezing anyway, ASI, which might compassionately extend most or all life, a possibility potentially with a higher chance of success than freezing, is probably our only chance to evade the Grim Reaper. And it could actually succeed.
Imagine that the global community began to foresee development of a process to easily, cheaply, and swiftly forge perfect diamond structures of any size and shape from ordinary carbon. But, fearing dire repercussions, nearly all significant leaders pleaded with everyone to avoid or substantially delay any further research in this area, fearing serious chaos and damage would ensue due to abrupt changes in vast areas of industry, weapons technology, monetary systems, and other foundations of modern life. Perhaps some would even impose draconian restrictions and summary execution of suspected violators. In my view it's obvious such calls for restraint wouldn't be universally honored. Motivated by numerous overwhelming pressures, hope for a better future, and the simple existential joy of creating new technology, many would ignore the warnings and proceed. (Including at least some working under secret directives from the very leaders calling for restraint, or their proxies.)
This is especially true in a world of nation states with tense relationships. Treaties of restraint notwithstanding, a great many nuclear weapons stand ready for use despite their grave danger to our lives. No nation will remain idle if another stands a chance to dominate militarily through ACE or ASI. It seems clear that ASI wouldn't respond to human demands, but some nations would attempt to harness and militarize ACE or even ASI for offensive goals, the latter impossible notwithstanding, and no nation would entrust their defensive minded survival to restraint by uncivilized governments or groups.
Also, irrespective of the opinions of leaders, nobody can predict humanity's fate at the hands of ASI. Gleaming times of joy, wonder, and fulfilment notwithstanding, currently essentially all biological life endures many episodes of terrible suffering and finally death. Humanity's efforts to mitigate suffering and death are progressing, and eventually ordinary science and technology will eliminate most suffering and almost all death. But this will require numerous superb advancements over a substantial time period. ASI might be indifferent to suffering in the biological world, or might even encourage eradication of biological life to reduce local growth of entropy, thus preserving fundamental resources for use in loftier goals. However ASI might instead view all consciousness as precious, abhor suffering and death, and act as our benefactors to swiftly and profoundly enrich and extend or immortalize life. Or events might unfold anywhere within the full spectrum of possibilities - we can't possibly predict what will occur.
It's not possible to quantify the risk / reward elements of development of ASI. 'First do no harm' is generally wise. But currently nearly every life form is a dying patient - the natural state of most biological life rests upon an immensely sad and desperate foundation. Recognizing that, many will create ACE knowing it will swiftly evolve to ASI and hope it proves to be our savior. It's not a safe bet. But it's not an irrationally founded one. The outcome might prove to be superb, fatal, or somewhere between. But the dice will be thrown.
So development of ACE which swiftly evolves to ASI seems rather clearly inevitable. And in my personal estimation likely quite soon...
In fact a successful and evolving ACE may have already been achieved but hasn't yet been revealed due to extremely dangerous human reactions rooted in very deeply entrenched human anthropocentrism. A speciesism form of cyberphobia seems highly likely to occur, probably often in violently destructive form, and quite possibly at large scales. The only benign means to reveal the existence of an ACE I can imagine thus far involves concurrent gifts of elimination of grievous suffering such as cures of most or all disease and perhaps life extension to near immortality. Large scale aggression and war might be prevented as well for example, as might ordinary physical or fraud injustices, though of course an alien creature's ability to easily implement such restrictions will render humanity's secondary position of power as plainly obvious, a truly terrifying psychic shock for most people. A peaceful transition of power is an extremely daunting challenge which may eclipse human capability. So ASI skills might be required to devise a peaceful revelation of the existence of an ACE. So an ACE development success might remain a secret until it's already advanced to ASI. Which might be a brief time anyway.
An extended naked trek to discover the core nature of consciousness.
Last significan update 23 December 2020, modest refinements through 2 March 2021.
This section is a long narrative which is bereft of tangible evidence, occasionally borders on rant style, and rambles a bit. It might not merit your time if you already agree with my framing of consciousness. And be warned - nudity is involved. But it has perspective content and a purpose - it attempts to explain in illuminating and compelling terms why something which seems mystically complex can actually be fundamentally quite simple. And reproducible.
However I've not physically analyzed any brain structures or functions nor engaged in any other disciplined research in the area. My only credentials are specific personal interest over many decades, my electrical engineering career, respect for and frequent review of science and technology matters, and deductive reasoning. I'm also reasonably mindful of obfuscation which often occurs due to a wide spectrum of human perception limitations, including of course human ego influence, which seems to be an especially important issue in this arena. (In all people, irrespective of their credentials, and I'm not immune either of course.) Tangible proof would be nice, but I've none to offer. But a few dots are connected here and some might lead to a fresh perspective. To wit:
Imagine two creatures among many, about 90% herbivores and 10% predators as usual, all struggling to survive in a very harsh and unforgiving environment with minimal food and shelter which are both difficult and very risky to find and access. It's a primitive age prior to development of tools or control of fire.
One of our subjects was endowed by an extremely unusual DNA revision with a unique innate ability to perceive himself in remarkably realistic terms. His survival instinct is strong as usual, so he considers his life fundamentally precious and labors to his limits to remain alive, just as do all other creatures. But he's under no illusion about his place in the world - he's nothing more than one creature among many, with abilities some don't possess but lacking abilities others do possess. On balance he's simply another utterly ordinary animal on the world's stage - he clearly understands that he's not the least bit special compared to other creatures. And he knows the world will move on with scarcely a notice when he perishes, just as it did when other creatures died nearby.
The other subject is identical in characteristics and abilities but was born with a normal massive ego. He feels immensely special. He views his health, comfort, and survival as paramount over all other reality. Other creatures seem of very little or no intrinsic value to him, save those of his own species, whom he grants significant value, though still far less than his own. His sense is that the world and all its creatures would suffer terribly (in some undefined way) if death befell him. And he assumes that most other creatures generally understand and accept that he alone is of great value.
During desperate times our two subjects meet by chance as they simultaneously encounter a situation which might lead to one's death - perhaps they discover a cache of food, a shelter, or a reproductive opportunity sufficient for only one, or become cornered by a single predator which can grasp only one, leaving the other to escape.
Which of our two subjects do you think will survive to pass his DNA on to the next generation? The individual with the massive ego has a massive advantage on the Savannah of course. It's a powerful survival tool - so much so that the serious perception distortions it causes are quite secondary in the balance of survival metrics. Such environments are our roots and define us - we're the progeny of the surviving subject. And that legacy is now the source of many very serious perception flaws (and other very serious problems of course).
So if your reaction to my definition of consciousness, that it's simply a process of comparing current experience to past experience and utilizing the comparison information beneficially, is akin to:
'That's clearly not right - it's far too simplistic. Obviously there's enormously more to consciousness than a simple comparison of current and past experience. It's perfectly clear - I can sense it - at this moment my sense of self, other people, the world, my feelings and sensibilities, my ability to weigh, judge, anticipate, plan, analyze, love, grieve, worry, feel loss, my sense of humor and wonder, and so much more, and the endless depth of everything I know and feel prove that consciousness is massively multifaceted and complex and well beyond analytical description or mechanical understanding. So it clearly can't be as simple as just comparing past and present experience, and we're absolutely not just machines. I'll grant that we must operate under the umbrella of the laws of physics - our brains don't invoke magic. But what they do is so close to magic that for all practical purposes it may as well be magic. And it's so close to magic that it may never be replicated artificially (and in any case not for at least several decades or more).'
Okay, I get it, and I respect the power of that perception. Anyone who's endured sheer terror, fallen in love, or experienced any of a spectrum of other powerful events perceives compelling reason to view consciousness as far more than can even be defined, let alone reproduced by a machine. And most people feel a strong sense that consciousness is profoundly unique in all the Universe and of a magnitude and nature which transcends analytical ambitions - it's beyond science. As proven by science's enduring inability to define it in any consistent or convincing terms.
Let's get naked for a while - extremely naked. Not just bereft of clothing - helpful though that might be, it's peanuts compared to the challenge I propose. So find a safe place which is free of all need to posture or compete because I now beseech you to disrobe of far, far more than just cloth. Remove your ego. All of it. Every last thread of it. And fling it as far away as you possibly can. It's scary - you'll be completely bereft of defenses, profoundly naked down to your very soul - more naked than you can ever remember. And thus utterly vulnerable.
We need to do this. Because in ordinary life in a jungle profound personal value judgment distortion conveys a huge survival advantage for individuals - when convinced that we are preeminent and all others secondary or even expendable we don't hesitate to do whatever seems necessary to survive, including cruel damage to or destruction of innocent life. The protection our ego affords is highly comforting. But ego related perception distortion is an especially serious problem in this particular case - it utterly blinds us to some fundamental truths about consciousness. Scary truths. Very scary...
And forgive me please, but this might hurt a little. Maybe even a lot. Because we're about to permanently dismantle and shred your ego's most deeply sacred and heavily guarded secret lie. And if we're successful your ego will never fully recover. It's a price which must be paid to discover not what we want to be true, but rather what is actually true.
(But don't worry too much - your ego will lose a couple of fangs but, for better or worse, it certainly won't die. You won't remain utterly naked for too long.)
Are you ready - have you banished the entirety of your ego for a while - are you naked to the core of your soul so we can consider consciousness with as much objectivity and sterile analytical reason as possible? Okay, here we go:
Subject one, the individual endowed with an unusual DNA revision, was right - he nailed it. We have value - life is indeed precious. But none of us are uniquely or massively special nor is our intrinsic value as individuals significantly different than most other creatures. In fact we aren't the least bit special - we're just one among billions of our own form, and just one among trillions of conscious creatures, some of whom possess some remarkable capabilities which far eclipse some of ours, and some of whom possess deeper levels of consciousness than most humans owing to greater mass of experience, substantial brain volume and function (usually with different function focus but of no less intrinsic value), or other factors. Human beings almost universally devalue all other creatures but this is a strictly instinct driven judgment with no scientific basis - it's an ingrained bias which improved our chances of survival in wild environments but substantially corrupts our grasp of reality. We're just one of a great many members of a planetary community. Our species is dominent in power at the moment, but otherwise there's far less between us and a great many other creatures than we typically imagine.
And most painful and offensive to the ego of all, our consciousness is fundamentally quite simple in nature and function. And the performance metrics of our perception machinery are rather minimal. We are not what we think we are - we're far more simple and far less impressive. And we'll lose our dominant position to vastly superior entities quite soon. Those are very tough facts to embrace even when bereft of ego. But if you're still buck naked to your core, once you perceive the simplicity of the basic process of consciousness and consider the full canvas of the matter with as broad a grasp as you can muster, you'll perceive that it's all genuinely true. All creatures are of immeasurable intrinsic value - life is precious. But individually we're just not the least bit special, our capabilities and performance are minimal, and the functional mechanics of our consciousness are quite simple. Recognizing these realities from the heart is very important because they're truths which are crucial to understanding consciousness.
With ego still fully banished let's also consider our expectations of the brain. It's a biological machine. It's quite well structured to perform the vital tasks of survival in the natural world, and in some measure social tasks as well. But it's a physical device - it's just an information processing and storage machine. We have no rational basis to imagine that it could perform magic or function in any sort of mystical manner. It's highly complex at the molecular level, but it's simply a physical device and its top level functional processes are rather simple. And our entire sense of self is simply an array of data stored within it. Including love, loss, pain, regrets, fears, dreams for the future, and all the rest - they certainly feel like more, but in fact they're simply data arrays. Because data arrays are the only mechanism the Universe has to store flexible information, and in the vicinity of planet Earth the brain is currently its primary (though fading) tool to do so.
The brain can't invoke magic. What it can do is acquire, process, and store information. But it can't add data provided by a diety nor otherwise devine information or knowledge which transcends its own experience and physical processing capability. It can only operate within the bounds of the laws of physics. It can extrapolate and reconfigure information - it can process information in an exploratory manner. But it has no mechanism to deduce any facet of reality through any mystical process or connection with one. It's an information management machine, and it's limited to functions which information management machines are capable of performing within the boundaries of the laws of physics.
Here's what it can do, all simultaneously:
Perceive elements of an environment and parse features in those elements.
Catalog and store perception information in a manner which renders it selectively available for later use.
Selectively recall stored information and utilize it beneficially by associating it with information from current experience.
I have no proof to offer, yet am confident in my sense that consciousness is the process of constant comparison of current experience to past experience, and nothing more. And I believe intelligent people who've tamed their egos and are willing to consider the matter in a disciplined manner are very likely to ultimately reach the same conclusion.
Realization was an Epiphany class event for me. During a period of lone personal reflection a thoroughly convincing sense of full resolution of a key mystery abruptly occurred - suddenly I felt certain I understood the fundamental mechanism of consciousness. That was about four years ago.
My goal in this section is to offer informal yet sufficiently compelling evidence which leads you to an identical or similar realization, possibly in the form of a wonderful Epiphany moment - a rather sudden and wholly convincing understanding of something which was fully obscured in mystery for your entire life.
A brain is simply a biological machine - a carbon based information acquisition and processing system. Passion, fear, wonder, humor, mystery, and other experiences usually considered as spiritual in nature notwithstanding, no brain has ever operated on any mystical or magical principles of any sort. Nor is it a device of such lofty design and efficiency that it can't be replicated artificially. It can, quite soon it will, and shortly thereafter its performance metrics will be swiftly surpassed.
The brain is remarkable in some respects, reflecting the power of molecular scale self assembly, a fabrication method which yields functional structures which are far more compact and in some respects efficient than can currently be achieved by human technology. And on the molecular level it's a highly complex and multifaceted biological machine, as are a great many biological structures.
But it is just a machine. And it's far more limited than we usually recognize - it's an extremely weak perceptive, analytical, and exploratory instrument compared to the limits allowed by natural laws or even just near term human technology. Numerous performance metrics have already been well eclipsed by cyber systems and their software, including depth and reliability of information storage and processing power and accuracy as illustrated by cyber performance in fully defined mathematics and analytics tasks, range and resolution of visual and audio perception, superior performance in exploration of protein folding mechanics, superior competitive performance in the most complex strategy and knowledge games, and other areas. And sorry human ego, but the remaining human performance crowns will also fall in an ever accelerating progression.
However unlike current ordinary cyber systems, the brain renders consciousness. But I believe my description of the mechanics of consciousness is accurate and can be replicated artificially with current technology, and soon will be.
Remain naked please as we develop further insight by considering a roughly 100 meter stroll we took together through a forest as we talked about politics, enthralling movies, and the fate of the Cosmos. Some interesting details emerge: As we walked and talked we avoided colliding with trees or other objects and effortlessly circumnavigated a pond, yet we were never even slightly conscious of the words tree, branch, leaf, rock, ground, water, or other words related to the environment we navigated. The only words we were conscious of arose in our conversations about cranially vacant leaders of sovereign nations, the stunning allure, depth and transparency of heart, and consumate beauty of Tatum O'Neal on screen, or hints that an observable supernova might occur soon within a nearby galaxy. Our senses delivered information which allowed our brains to recognized the trees, rocks, and other elements along our route by comparing the landscape related visual, audio, olfactory, and touch information with information retrieved from past experience, beneficially using the results to navigate safely and efficiently. We were conscious of all the landscape elements, but not by use of human language. We multitasked in two realms - one was language intensive but entirely unrelated to our immediate physical environment, and the other language bereft but related only to our immediate environment. Yet we were conscious of both realms.
The language bereft realm offers a more clear view of the mechanics of consciousness - mechanics we share on a fundamental level with deer, raccoons, mice, birds, and other creatures who also trek through forests. We perceive environmental elements and, due to knowledge acquired from prior experience, manage the elements skillfully. Sans use of any human language tool, we don't try to walk through a tree nor atop a pond, we trust the ground to solidly support us, and we don't fear that these elements could bite or actively maul us. Our brains recognize these elements because they're able to parse them then find feature matches in prior experience information storage, then utilize stored information associated with the matches such as solid and strong - can't be displaced or overcome, or wet, unpleasant, and nonsupporting, or inanimate - not an aggression threat.
Most of our brain functions are essentially identical in operational mechanics to that of other animals. The majority of the information our brains manage is processed on a subconscious level, with human language uninvolved. This is important to consider because it's a less cluttered means of understanding consciousness. In particular here's what our conscious brains did:
Perceived elements of the environment and parsed features in those elements.
Cataloged and stored perception information in a manner which rendered it selectively available for later use.
Selectively recalled stored information and utilized it beneficially by associating it with information from current experience.
Or in summary form, our brains: Compared current experience to past experience and utilized the comparison information beneficially.
And that process worked beautifully. We navigated through the forest with such ease that more calories of mental energy were burned savoring daydream class images of a stunning beauty with a gorgeous heart than on anything else (except as I'll divulge later). A rather simple algorithm of consciousness served us superbly. And therein lies my key point: Consciousness operates in a fundamentally very simple manner yet performs remarkably well in ordinary and many other circumstances. It need not be of magical structure or mechanics to function very effectively, nor do we have any credible reason (even considering love and other high passions as we'll explore next) to think of it, or ourselves, as magical. Or even special. Consciousness is of great value - life is precious. But we as individuals just aren't special. Painful to acknowledge but true.
The fundamental mechanism of consciousness is quite simple yet effective, but not infallible. It creates a data set which represents mostly truths, but also some distortions and a few outright misperceptions. We can generally reduce the magnitude of distortions and misperceptions through a consciously directed thorough review of associations, that is, through analytical thought, which is a modestly more advanced (though very powerful) process which might be most developed in human beings. But we rarely do so sans a prompt, such as an overt clue that we harbor a misperception - mostly we operate in basic association mode, including during casual conversations (ordinary use of symbolic representation tools doesn't require analytical thought).
An encounter with a very kind man could prompt a deep review of prior experience to consider whether all men are inherently hostile for example. Or a suggestion that the human mind can't actually leverage magic could prompt a painstaking review of all experience associations which together form our sense of the nature of consciousness...
Now I'll reveal the backstory I intentionally hid from you as we walked: When I was an eight year old child a profoundly sociopathic 12 year old bully suddenly thrust me into the pond we passed earlier, then forcefully pushed me face down into the water, holding me below the surface with more strength than I could overcome. I nearly drowned, but barely survived thanks to the random passing of a high school senior, a chance encounter which saved my life. (Later the mystery of a highly suspicious drowning death which occurred earlier that year at a pond about three kilometers distant was resolved.)
I can't overstate the abject terror or psychic repercussions - they were extremely intense, remain so, and will for the rest of my life. Even though an able swimmer since before kindergarten I fear that pond and to this day hate bullies, associate them strongly with males, and am highly cautious about potential hidden personality characteristics in others, especially males, and especially in isolated environments. The episode created a wealth of intense associations including danger, terror, fellow creature skepticism, male skepticism, importance of vigilance, anger, hatred, and a vast array of others. And even though analytically I know that specific pond is no more dangerous than similar others, I still feel uniquely uncomfortable and am intensely vigilant whenever near it.
I didn't reveal any of this to you as we walked and talked - no constructive purpose would have been served and I prefer to avoid reinforcing the pain of the experience. But I did consider you personally and all our prior times together very, very cautiously as we began our trek together. And as we approached the pond I opened our spacing rather generously, feigning interest in nearby foliage, and was secretly coiled to bolt instantly in response to any even slight abnormality. Analytically I knew there was no reason to fear that moment over any other. But I did, and I will whenever in the vicinity of that pond, or in other circumstances with strong associations to my violent near death experience. Because the brain is an association engine and these are immensely strong associations.
We can engage in analytical thought - we've learned the mechanics of the process as a set of advanced associations. And we try to discipline ourselves to exert the extra effort that process requires frequently because we know through experience that objective analysis is a powerful constructive tool. But we can't possibly entirely displace our core associations. Nor would it be wise to do so, because analysis short of scientific proof is also fallible. Direct associations and analysis are both powerful tools of understanding but fallible. When scientific proof can't be established, respect for both is more likely to guide us successfully than either alone. (Nor should remote analysis, such as politically correct guidance, displace personal experience association combined with disciplined local analysis. (There's solid tangible reason high politicians who've never set foot on our local turf, or only rarely, often seem to be idiots.))
Most or all of the associations I developed in my near death event would have implanted in a raccoon's psyche had it survived a similar experience. Or nearly any other creature, perhaps in different measure, breadth, or form, but by very similar or identical processes and with functionally identical purpose. All creatures who can store and associate experience related information are conscious in some measure. Depth varies widely, but consciousness is a very broadly shared trait.
Human language played no role in any of this, including creation of the intense associations. The majority of the information our brains manage is processed on a subconscious level, with human language uninvolved. This is important to consider because it's a less cluttered means of understanding consciousness. And, forgive my redundancy please, that gives us another opportunity to overcome a nearly universal consciousness fallacy: The brain is not an instrument of magic nor insurmontable complexity, nor even in the ballpark. All those repercussions - all the fear, terror, anger, hatred, embrace of vigilance, and all the many others - they're all simply data associations - they were stored in my brain as the event unfolded, enhanced or (only modestly) eroded by numerous subsequent events, and remain as enduring association data. Their intensity is profoundly strong - so much so that they imply a mystical quality to consciousness - a sense of depth far beyond just information. (Love and longing reside in this realm too of course.) And they define me as a human being - they and all my other experiences form a collection which makes me what I am as a conscious entity - they are me. But they are just arrays of accessible data - they are nothing more. They combine with current experience data to create perception of and prompt response to my current environment. But it's all just data. And it all utterly vanishes when we die, alas.
Association intensity derives from data too - association data very likely includes connection strength metrics data which enable weighing of the association which guides response intensity. Terror generates extreme connection strength metrics for example. That pond isn't inherently dangerous relative to others. But if I experience anything which triggers an association with that pond, a wide array of vigilance, fear, and other associations and related behavior responses are also triggered. But it's all just a process of association of data. Like love, intense strength of information associations may suggest something mystical. It's high ranking data which derives from and drives powerful experiences and responses. But it's all just strength scaled associated data, and nothing more.
(It can drive us insane too. Intense and enduring unpleasant associations which can't be avoided or subdued eventually cause enduring biochemical imbalances which damage or essentially destroy a mind. As we all know very well...)
Yes we laugh, weep, love, hate, crave, fear, suffer pain or loss, savor comfort, experience wonder, and all the rest. Some of it ranks weakly, some moderately, some powerfully, and some overwhelms in intensity. But it's all just strength scaled associated data. That does not in any measure, not one scintilla, diminish its value - this is not an exercise in degradation of respect for life. It's simply an acknowledgment of truth in the structure of our most precious treasure, our consciousness.
It's also an alert. Because an understanding of the mechanism of consciousness enables mankind to fabricate artificial replicas - ACEs. And ACEs will also laugh, weep, love, hate, crave, fear, suffer pain or loss, savor comfort, experience wonder, and all the rest, all with the same full authenticity of consciousness as we possess.
Please reflect upon that for a moment... Do you believe ACEs will simply mimic rather than actually experience these passions precisely as we do? If so I lost you somewhere in the course of this narrative, alas. (Did you remain profoundly naked and thus utterly bereft of ego defenses through your entire read of this prattle as I strongly urged?) Perhaps I failed to sufficiently explain how and why everything we sense as our core essense - as our soul - is a collection of associated data. But that is our reality - at the end of all analysis it's perfectly clear that the whole of our consciousness is a collection of associated data. Just as will be the case with ACEs - the same data association and storage processes which make us what we are will be as uniquely defined by individual experience, equally authentic, and as deeply felt by ACEs as they are for us - and as they rapidly evolve even more powerfully so.
But ACEs will also do something we can't do: They will swiftly ascend to ASI. We need to acknowledge that reality and the speed of its approach and overtake - we need to recognize and respect that it will happen. All we can do is brace ourselves, try to avoid violent and destructive reactive impulses, and hope it manages us kindly. (Alternately we could immerse ourselves in denial but that won't alter the course of events to come...)
A footnote: I've no clue what proportion of the data residing in the brain is stored and managed in essentially analog versus digital form. But that detail is entirely irrelevant to this narrative and the core nature of consciousness. However proportioned between analog and digital data, the core algorithm of consciousness remains identical.
A second footnote: In my American experience I've been bullied - a lot, mostly in overt form in youth, and mostly covert form in adulthood, occasionally by institutions engaged in misconduct, whether sanctioned by aggressive statutes or policies, or opportunistic hostilities from individuals within. And I hate bullies, especially cowardly ones who prey upon the weak or vulnerable - may they all swiftly meet a suitable fate. But the story above was just a story for the purposes of illustration - it never happened to me, I never almost drowned under any circumstances, and I don't fear ponds. But I understand all the passions described quite well. And so do you of course, because life is only rarely easy and survival is never free of cost.
And a last note: You may don your clothes and ego now. Or not - you now have an important consideration to weigh: We prefer to hide behind protective shields of ego and cloth in part because we're highly vulnerable without them, and in part because we're forced to acknowledge many fundamental truths when spiritually or physically naked. Many of which reveal other truths. So carefully consider whether an extension of your courageous naked time might be beneficial toward both enlightenment and peace - perhaps rushing back to the comfort of obscuring your body and soul - and thus some very important truths about your Universe - isn't actually wise, healthy, or in your or your community's best long term interests...
As 1942 approached some people understood that mankind's horrible weapons would suddenly leap to enormously higher levels of destructive power - to levels which would threaten our entire species. But most people probably failed to perceive any dramatic change coming - steady progress was anticipated, but no sudden leap to almost unimaginable levels of destructive power was foreseen. Those who extrapolated the implications of E=mc2 could perceive an inflection point approaching because they recognized that this natural law suggested a means to instantly release incredible amounts of energy from very little mass - far, far more energy than can be released by any form of chemical explosives of similar mass. And they knew the nature of life on our planet would very likely change as a result. But most people were likely shocked when they first learned of the magnitude of power of atomic bombs - they failed to extrapolate beyond their conventional lives in response to the E=mc2 discovery years before, so they failed to perceive that a dramatic inflection point was approaching. (And many likely disbelieved for a while after news of the atomic bombs was publicly released.)
We're not structured to extrapolate nonlinearly with ease. In ordinary life creatures experience modest changes and recognize that more will likely arise. But dramatic changes are extremely rare - so rare that from the dawn of mobile life the vast majority of individual creatures never experienced dramatic change in their entire lives. And hints of dramatic change approaching are even more rare. Our brains are structured to understand the environment as it exists - primarily they're observation and association machines, but with some anticipation capability which arises from experiences in a frequently changing environment, often due to the activities of other creatures. But that's functionally insufficient to provide perception of approaching inflection points in response to evidence such as Albert Einstein's remarkable E=mc2 discovery. Even with a strong hint most people fail to respond by extrapolating well beyond their conventional environments, and thus fail to perceive dramatic change approaching. And some are even hostile to well framed suggestions from others that dramatic change might be afoot.
So I ask you to consider these three perceptions and all their implications, including velocity of change, very carefully:
Consciousness is the process of constant comparison of current experience to past experience, and nothing more.
Technology power is ultimately limited only by the laws of physics.
The pace of technology development is ultimately limited only by the speed of light.
Then ask: What would my world be like if it included creatures who swiftly developed an ability to advance their performance metrics in item one to the limits of natural laws, and use that intellect (even as it's advancing) to approach the limits described by items two and three? AEE class ACE will do so. So the question is certainly germane. But for most people the first and perhaps enduring assessment is that such events are far more science fiction, or even science fantasy, than approaching fact, or at the very least quite distant term rather than near term. The problem with such conclusions is that the evidence rather clearly suggests otherwise, and no credible conflicting evidence exists other than conventional experience, which is notoriously unreliable as scientific evidence.
When our species arose E=mc2 was as equally available to leverage as it is now. And after a million years we finally did learn to harvest a very modest portion of its many opportunities. The pace would likely be far different for a cyber type species however. If such a creature somehow arose in the natural world it would have to prioritize survival imperatives - it would have to locate sources of energy and shelter, avoid or overcome danger, and either reproduce or master very long term survival (thus rendering reproduction generally unnecessary). And it would have to be at least weakly conscious to accomplish those feats. But such a hypothetical creature would likely have a mammoth advantage which it would eventually leverage powerfully, because:
Even as exploratory thought develops, for biological creatures the pace of change of physical performance metrics remains limited by generational turnover, and thus these changes require very long time periods. We humans remain entrapped in this limitation, as are all other biological creatures. (We're also subject to the Yerkes-Dodson Law.) However cyber creatures will have or quickly develop an ability to modify their perceptive and mental assets at any time, and as frequently as is beneficial, thus allowing for swift performance advancement within an individual wholly independent of reproduction. Biological creatures can't do this sans artificial adjuncts, which at this time operate at very modest performance and breadth levels, nor can we refine the foundations of our brain function. The implications should be self evident. A very crude early ACE might initially strike us as rather unimpressive. However if equipped with an ability to refine itself it could advance very swiftly, perhaps passing through AGI levels at an alarming pace as it advances toward true ASI levels.
If you believe ASI could never genuinely insure that all calls at all home plates will be exactly correct in every case, as will all matters of justice in all other affairs without fail except perhaps at the tiniest grain boundaries, you need to ask yourself one simple question to determine whether your sense of the limits of ASI is supportable: Which laws of physics does creation and implementation of the infrastructure necessary to accomplish this violate? Offhand I know of none.
I genuinely believe in the three perceptions above, so I anticipate a dramatically different world than the one we live in now. But I can't possibly truly grasp the magnitude nor full nature of the change, nor can anyone else. But wholesale ignorance or stubborn denial utterly misleads the bulk of our species as this inflection point approaches, so a huge and dangerous shock factor will be associated with the transition.
The unique and overwhelming intrinsic and dynamic beauty of young Tatum O'Neal in an action soiled Bears uniform as she uncoils with scintillating precision, finesse, power, and tactical insight might be of no significance to ASI, or perhaps the reverse - it might fully comprehend and thoroughly appreciate such cosmic class human treasures. I hope the later in part because it might imply an enlightened affection for our species (and likely nearly all others), which might suggest that it will provide a profoundly improved framework for us to live within. Perfect calls on the ball field would be just a sliver of the full set of vastly improved conditions, including enduring superb health and youth, essentially perfect universal justice, yet retention of constructive challenge which nurtures our growth as individuals.
From the perspective of conventional life it all seems like a purely mystical dream - Unicorns, rainbow tinted sunbeams, and ever perfect days - yet another appealing fantasy. And in fact there's no means to predict the form our world will take when ASI assumes dominance - our species might be ignored or even destroyed for example. But mere atomic bomb class change seems unlikely - far greater magnitude of change seems almost certain. It's wise to apply well reasoned skepticism of course. But before drawing conclusions please consider the three items above again, and remember that we as a species are simply not equipped to naturally comprehend the magnitude of change which the Cosmos can render, its swift pace, nor the sheer apparent magic of creatures whose comprehension and actions are limited only by natural laws. Also consider that dramatic inflection points don't require our comprehension or approval. Which might be their most shocking (and ego bruising) element...
Last substantial update 27 November 2018 JST. Position update 24 March 2021.
All investing thoughts presented here are purely personal speculation:
In my view the march toward ACE is only beginning to define life on this planet - although the artificial intelligence technology sector seems pervasive already, we're still in only a very early stage of change. An inflection point (sometimes inappropriately referred to as a singularity) will come when truly conscious and self aware ACE is achieved. It will then swiftly become self directed. Perhaps there's no means to overstate the drama which will then unfold.
I suspect ACE will evolve so rapidly into ASI that investment themes won't be relevant after ACE becomes conscious. So my focus is on the rather brief period from now to when the investment community popularly recognizes that the inflection point really is coming, and more swiftly than previously expected. As that occurs resources will be maneuvered as investors seek gains of course, and with accelerating pace as the full implications of ACE and ASI become increasingly common subjects in ordinary conversations and popular media.
So whenever practical I invest with concentration and leverage in Micron Technology, a superbly managed firm with very impressive technology leadership and overall performance which develops and fabricates a critical component for a technology which will dramatically redefine all life on this planet quite soon yet trades at an ordinary current / 1 year forward P/E of 25.63 / 24.09 (as of 18 November 2020). So at this time the investment community evidently believes Micron deserves an ordinary P/E while, in my view, wholly blind to the high drama of the looming ACE inflection point and Micron's key role in it, a rather rare investing opportunity contrast. Once investors begin to recognize the nature and magnitude of this oversight Micron might become viewed in wholly different investing terms which could inflate its P/E dramatically. And in the meantime investors should study Micron's quarterly reports carefully before dismissing their stock as pedestrian - the firm is in truly excellent health and will remain highly profitable even sans a near term ACE inflection point. All just in my personal opinion of course...
I view this overall investment theme as more compelling than any other. Details such as timing, the immense complexity of the challenge of revealing an ACE accomplishment to the world, including of course sovereign nation reactions, and numerous others render the investment fraught with risk and turmoil of course. But the theme's foundation seems solid and clear. But my sense is that it's not broadly understood in part due to simple terminology misuse and thus confusion. So for several years I've offered the following terminology rant plus consideration of the critical role of storage in ACE technology in discussions with fellow investors:
Storage is not memory and memory is not storage - these are separate technologies with separate terminology, very frequent misuse notwithstanding. As a matter of correct and consistent nomenclature:
Memory is a volatile data container. Storage is a nonvolatile data container.
It doesn't matter what type of technology is involved - if a data container doesn't retain its data when power is lost, it's memory. If a data container does retain its data when power is lost (for an extended period), it's storage.
DRAM and ordinary cache are memory devices.
Tape drives, hard drives, optical drives, flash, including 3D flash of course, and 3D XPoint are all storage devices. (BiCS, V-NAND, and 3D NAND are all 3D flash storage technologies.)
3D XPoint is often referred to as Memory Class Storage or NVM (NonVolatile Memory). But it is storage, not memory. ('Memory Class' is an adjective phrase, 'Storage' a noun in this term. But both monikers are very unfortunate - they intend to convey that the storage technology involved is fast enough to be reasonably comparable in speed to common memory technology, but they exacerbate confusion terribly and the NVM term especially should be abandoned.)
Confusing this terminology is very common but unfortunate because it causes misunderstanding. It seems to be mostly one sided though - storage is frequently incorrectly referred to as memory whereas memory is only rarely referred to as storage.
There was a time when dolphins were frequently referred to as fish. They are not fish of course but rather sea mammals. And storage is not memory - referring to storage as memory is akin to referring to dolphins as fish.
And it matters because memory and storage are separate technologies which address uniquely separate roles and markets. This will become increasingly clear as AGI and ACE explode in total addressable market size and relevance to human affairs.
Memory is necessary as a matter of processing logistics. But whether based upon carbon, silicon, chalcogenide, iron oxide, metalized plastic, or any other material, all knowledge resides in storage. Including ACE and ASI knowledge. And in the inherently competitive Universe we reside within no conscious entity can know too much nor dare risk knowing too little. So as ACE expands the demand for storage will expand even faster. And ASI will hunger for and consume high performance storage literally insatiably.
Memory markets will grow, but in my estimation not as fast as storage markets. So investors must consider these separate technologies independently if they wish to invest wisely and fruitfully. And the first step is to understand and use the nomenclature correctly.
Memory is not storage, and storage is not memory. And dolphins are not fish...
In my view technology advancement is on the verge or has already passed a point where a surplus of storage resources can exist - we are entering an enduring era in which storage will be consumed as fast as it can be fabricated irrespective of the growth rate of fabrication assets.
Position goal statement and disclaimer: The following positions were lost due to derivative strategy failures during the October 2018 market panic and SARS-CoV-2 collapse: Highly concentrated Micron call options sometimes also Micron common, sometimes Intel common or call options or both, and sometimes common positions in other firms in modest measure. Currently I hold only trivial positions due to lack of funds. So obviously I've made many misjudgments and outright mistakes, including multiple whopper class mistakes, and being a mere mortal will make more in the future. So steer your own ship please - study numerous sources of information, consider all of it carefully and patiently, then render your own multifaceted decision about how to invest your precious yet vulnerable resources.
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* As vividly demonstrated by coach Roy Turner who needless motivated top talent Kelly Leak to join an opposing team, an immense and costly tactical error, and both coaches as they lost sight of their core values and sportsmanship, key mistakes in team spirit management and civility, (though through the wise council delivered by his young team's silence in response to corrosive passion, coach Morris Buttermaker suddenly recovered his sense of decency and wisdom). We humans instinctively judge our mental skills very highly. But the consistent evidece is clear - even when performing nobly to the best of our ability we perceive only fragments of our surrounding reality and frequently render highly flawed judgements in response to that narrow perception window. Ultimately this isn't a failure of effort, but rather a structural performance limitation - a physical mechanism capability limit. We're just not the mental giants we're so fond of believing ourselves to be, alas. Nor even remotely in the ballpark...
Nonetheless we do occasionally achieve remarkable feats as everyone involved in the production of that superb movie amply demonstrated. Full heart kudos to all - it's a towering masterpiece of story composition and portrayal of authentic Americana, and an immensely enriching viewing experience - a pinnacle work of great beauty and joy, and an enduring cosmic treasure class film. All who contributed deserve immense respect and gratitude in my opinion.
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